162
FXUS62 KKEY 061616
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1116 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SE GULF WATERS
AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION
UNTIL WINDS DECREASE AND SEAS SUBSIDE ACROSS HAWK CHANNEL AND
THE BAY AND GULFSIDE WATERS.
- COOL NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY BREEZES WILL CONTINUE WITH DAYTIME
HIGHS ONLY REACHING THE MID 60S TODAY.
- NIL RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE KEYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1003 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS HAVE CONTINUED THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS. AUTOMATED OBSERVATIONS HAVE REPORTED EARLY
MORNING LOW TEMPERATURES WERE ANYWHERE FROM NEAR 50F IN THE UPPER
KEYS TO THE UPPER 50S IN THE LOWER KEYS, AND THE CHILL WAS VERY
NOTICEABLE DUE TO ACCOMPANYING DEWPOINTS IN THE 40S. EVEN THOUGH
OUR CURRENT TEMPERATURES ARE RANGING FROM THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60F,
THERE IS PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AVAILABLE TO HELP CUT SOME OF THAT
CHILL FOR THOSE OF US WELL-ADAPTED TO THE USUAL FLORIDA WARMTH.
VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A FIELD OF FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS
CLOUDS TO THE WEST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN, BUT THE DEEP NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW HAS PUT THE KEYS IN THE SHADOW OF THE PENINSULA, THUS
KEEPING OUR SKIES DIRECTLY OVERHEAD VIRTUALLY CLOUD-FREE. THE 12Z
SOUNDING FROM THIS MORNING CALCULATED HALF OF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITABLE WATERS, AND MOST OF THAT WATER IN THE COLUMN IS IN
THE LOWEST LEVELS UP TO APPROXIMATELY 850 MB, WHERE THE CUMULUS
FIELD IS SITTING. ABOVE THAT, THE AIR MASS IS SIGNIFICANTLY DRY,
SO THIS SHOULD KEEP OUR FORECAST AREA FREE OF SHOWERS. THE
FORECAST IS UNFOLDING AS EXPECTED, AND NO CHANGES ARE NEEDED WITH
THIS MORNING UPDATE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1003 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
GENERALLY MODERATE BREEZES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
IN THE WAKE OF A RECENT COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO PUSH AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY, BREEZES WILL
SOMEWHAT SLACKEN, ALTHOUGH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
HAZARDOUS. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND, SUPPORTING MODERATE NORTHWEST BREEZES.
AS THE HIGH SLIDES SOUTHEASTWARD LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BREEZES WILL SLACKEN AND CLOCK AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST.
AVIATION
(15Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1003 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH TERMINALS THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. NEARBY SCT TO BKN DECKS ARE AROUND FL040, BUT THE
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT SHOULD HELP TO KEEP THIS CLOUD FIELD AWAY
FROM BOTH TERMINALS. SURFACE WINDS AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD
WILL GRADUALLY BACK FROM THE NORTH TO NORTHWEST, BUT CROSSWIND
CONCERNS ARE LOW AS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 10 KNOTS WITH ONLY
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS.
CLIMATE
ON THIS DAY IN 1966, THE DAILY RECORD LOW TEMPERATURE OF 49F WAS
RECORDED IN KEY WEST. TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR KEY WEST DATE BACK
TO 1872.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 66 59 72 59 / 0 0 0 0
MARATHON 64 57 72 57 / 0 0 0 0
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR GMZ033-
034-052>055-072>075.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...DP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....DP
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP
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