615
FXUS62 KKEY 061944
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
244 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR INCREASING WINDS ACROSS
THE DEEP GULF WATERS AS WELL AS THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE OF NORMAL, BUT
GRADUALLY TREND WARMER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- NIL RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE KEYS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 222 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH ISLAND TERMINALS WITH A NEAR
ZERO CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE
WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR 10 KNOTS, AND GUSTS WILL BE INFREQUENT NEAR
15 KNOTS.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 430 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
WINTER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE KEYS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. IN THE
WAKE OF YESTERDAYS FRONT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN,
THOUGH, THE CENTER OF THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF. THEREFORE, BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTHWESTERLY FOR
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME FROM TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER
PIECE OF ENERGY WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED
STATES OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS MAY RESULT IN A REINFORCING WEAK
FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO PUSH THROUGH THE KEYS SOMETIME SATURDAY
EVENING OR OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN DOMINATE THE PATTERN
FOR THE THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
MOISTURE REMAINS SCARCE RESULTING IN NEAR NIL RAIN CHANCES THROUGH
THE EXTENDED. BREEZES WILL MODESTLY SLACKEN TODAY AND TONIGHT
WITH GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES PREVAILING THROUGH THE PERIOD
ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN. HOWEVER, WITH THE WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE
POTENTIALLY SATURDAY EVENING/NIGHT, BREEZES MAY INCREASE BACK TO
MODERATE TO FRESH FOR A TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY MODERATE
EACH DAY THROUGH THE EXTENDED, THOUGH, WE WONT FULLY GET BACK TO
AVERAGE TILL PERHAPS THE MIDDLE TO LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
HUMIDITY WILL ALSO SLOWLY CREEP UP EACH DAY, ESPECIALLY MID NEXT
WEEK ONWARD, THOUGH STILL REMAINING QUITE COMFORTABLE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1003 AM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
GENERALLY MODERATE BREEZES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING
IN THE WAKE OF A RECENT COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE. AS THE FRONT
CONTINUES TO PUSH AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY, BREEZES WILL
SOMEWHAT SLACKEN, ALTHOUGH MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN
HAZARDOUS. AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC OVER THE WEEKEND, SUPPORTING MODERATE NORTHWEST BREEZES.
AS THE HIGH SLIDES SOUTHEASTWARD LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK, BREEZES WILL SLACKEN AND CLOCK AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 66 59 72 59 / 0 0 0 0
MARATHON 64 57 72 57 / 0 0 0 0
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...DP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....DP
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP
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