058
FXUS62 KKEY 070338
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1038 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR INCREASING WINDS ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS AS WELL AS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE OF NORMAL, BUT
GRADUALLY TREND WARMER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
- NIL RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS DRY
AIR REMAINS ENTRENCHED ACROSS THE KEYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1035 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
A SURPRISINGLY LIGHT WINDED NIGHT IS UNDERWAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA
KEYS THIS EVENING. A WARM MAINLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING KEPT WINDS PRACTICALLY CALM OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS
WHILE FRESH WESTERLY BREEZES BLEW OVER THE UPPER KEYS AS RECORDED
BY CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT. CURRENTLY, GENTLE WEST TO NORTHWEST
BREEZES ARE OBSERVED ALONG THE REST OF THE REEF WITH LIGHT AND
AT TIMES VARIABLE WINDS OVER LAND. THIS HAS ALLOWED FOR MORE
INLAND AREAS TO EXPERIENCE RADIATIONAL COOLING FAIRLY EARLY.
WHILE MOST TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN ARE FLOATING
AROUND THE MID TO UPPER 50S, THE BIG PINE KEY RAWS OBSERVATION IS
CURRENTLY 46 DEGREES OVER A DEW POINT OF 43 DEGREES. WITH A CALM
AND CLEAR START TO THE NIGHT, MORE AREAS MAY FALL CLOSER TO THEIR
DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER 50S.
TONIGHT, BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO RAMP BACK UP LATE OVERNIGHT
RESULTING IN MODERATE TO FRESH NORTHWESTERLIES ACROSS OUR COASTAL
WATERS. THIS COMES AS ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIPS THROUGH THE
CAROLINAS INTO THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC WHILE A SURFACE HIGH
CONTINUES TO SPIRAL IN THE WESTERN GULF. THIS EVENING'S KKEY
SOUNDING NOTES A MORE UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW IN THE LOWER TO MID
LEVELS THAN LAST NIGHT, BUT STILL RETAINS A SPIKE OF DRY AIR
STARTING ABOVE 850 MB. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES NEAR NIL MOVING
INTO TOMORROW AND HINTS THAT OUR COOLING PATTERN IS COMING TO AN
END. A WARMING PATTERN WILL RAMP UP FOR THE WEEKEND AS THE
SURFACE HIGH MEANDERS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GULF SLOWLY VEERING
WINDS AS WE MARCH CLOSER TO THE NEXT WORK WEEK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1035 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FOR INCREASING WINDS IN THE
SOUTHEAST GULF WATERS AND STRAITS OF FLORIDA. FROM SYNOPSIS, GENERALLY
MODERATE BREEZES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS WITH
MODESTLY FRESH BREEZES OCCURRING IN THE EASTERNMOST PORTIONS OF
HAWK CHANNEL AND THE FLORIDA STRAITS. BREEZES WILL WAX AND WANE AS
WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND, PEAKING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AN
AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE MID- ATLANTIC OVER THE
WEEKEND, SUPPORTING MODERATE NORTHWEST BREEZES. AS THE HIGH
SLIDES SOUTHEASTWARD LATE SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, BREEZES
WILL SLACKEN AND CLOCK AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1035 PM EST FRI FEB 6 2026
VFR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH TONIGHT.
NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL START LIGHT OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST,
INCREASING TO NEAR 10 KNOTS AND POSSIBLY INCLUDING A FEW
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 15 KNOTS BY TOMORROW MORNING.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...JAM
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....JAM
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSKEYWEST
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSKEYWEST
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page