278
FXUS62 KKEY 200337
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1037 PM EST THU FEB 19 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
- MAINLY SOUTHEAST LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
- A MODERATE DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE KEYS. BURN
BANS ARE POSSIBLE, TREES AND BUSHES BEGIN BROWNING, AND WATER
SUPPLY DECREASES.
- CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE FOR A STRONG COLD FRONT TO
PRESS THROUGH THE KEYS SOMETIME SUNDAY EVENING/NIGHT RESULTING
IN MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES, DROP IN HUMIDITY, AND A PERIOD OF
WINDY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 957 PM EST THU FEB 19 2026
DEEP LAYERED RIDGING REMAINS IN CONTROL OF OUR WEATHER THIS
EVENING. THIS EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED A BEEFY LAYER OF WARM
AND DRY AIR THROUGH THE LOWER AND MID LEVELS. IN ADDITION, A VERY
LOW INVERSION BASED BELOW 975 MB WAS EVIDENT. AS A RESULT, SKIES
HAVE BEEN ESSENTIALLY FREE OF LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION
WAS NIL. WITH THAT SAID, THE PERSISTENT LIGHT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
IS MAINTAINING WARM CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S
AND DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70.
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL
KEEP WINDS LIGHT OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AND ENSURE ABOVE NORMAL LOWS
IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60S
TO NEAR 70. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 957 PM EST THU FEB 19 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING WESTWARD ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
GULF WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS
KEYS WATERS OVERNIGHT. VIRTUALLY NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE
EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 957 PM EST THU FEB 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DP
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