352
FXUS62 KKEY 080354
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1054 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OVER BERMUDA WILL REMAIN STATIONARY THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, SUPPORTING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY
UNREMARKABLE WEATHER.
- MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES WILL WAX AND WANE THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
GENERALLY PEAKING DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND LULLING IN THE
AFTERNOONS.
- MODERATE DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE ISLAND CHAIN. BURN
BANS ARE POSSIBLE, TREES AND BUSHES BEGIN BROWNING, AND WATER
SUPPLY DECREASES. FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK, THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1037 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
BREEZY AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS HAVE PREVAILED THROUGH THE
EVENING ALONG THE FLORIDA KEYS, INCLUDING OUR LOCAL WATERS.
SATELLITE DERIVED PRODUCTS HAVE SHOWN PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN
GENERAL WITH SOME ENHANCED CLOUD COVERAGE OVER THE PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA STRAITS NEAR ONGOING CUBAN CONVECTION. CLOSER TO HOME, OUR
KBYX RADAR SHOWED A SMALL CLUSTER OF MODERATE SHOWERS EMERGE FROM
ANDROS ISLAND, AND TRACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE UPPER KEYS. BY THE
TIME IT REACHED OUR MARINE ZONES, IT SLOWLY FIZZLED OUT. THERE ARE
ONLY A COUPLE OF AUTOMATED OBSERVATIONS ALONG THE UPPER KEYS, AND
NONE OF THEM REPORTED ANY RAINFALL THIS EVENING, BUT SOME OF THE
FLORIDA DOT TRAFFIC CAMERAS IN THE VICINITY HAD RAINDROPS ON
THEIR LENS! WITH MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS STILL IN PLACE, WE
WILL TAKE ANY RAIN WE CAN GET. THE 00Z KKEY SOUNDING FROM THIS
EVENING SHOWS A FAIR AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY IN THE LOWER LEVELS, SO
WE CAN'T RULE OUT OCCASIONAL, LIGHT SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. THUS, THE
FORECAST IS UNFOLDING AS EXPECTED, AND NO UPDATES OR CHANGES ARE
PROPOSED AT THIS TIME.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1037 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
ELSEWHERE, SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION ACROSS THE REST OF
THE LOCAL WATERS DUE TO EASTERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KNOTS. FROM
SYNOPSIS, HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER BERMUDA WITH THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THIS RIDGE EXTENDING WEST INTO FLORIDA AND THE GULF.
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PROMOTE MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES TONIGHT.
SLIGHT WEAKENING OF THE HIGH SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL
RESULT IN MODEST SLACKENING TO GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZES, THOUGH,
MODERATE TO FRESH BREEZES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE
STRAITS. AS THE HIGH RETREATS INTO ATLANTIC NEXT WEEK, BREEZES
WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1037 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH ISLAND TERMINALS THROUGH THE
TAF PERIOD, BUT INFREQUENT AND SHORT LIVED OBSERVATIONS OF MVFR
CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AT BOTH LOCATIONS DUE TO SCT TO BKN DECKS NEAR
FL030. LONG TERM IMPACTS ARE UNLIKELY AT BOTH AIR FIELDS. RAIN
CHANCES ARE NEAR 20 PERCENT FOR THE AREA, BUT ANY SHOWERS WILL BE
SHORT LIVED. TAFS WILL CONTINUE TO REFLECT DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
KEY WEST 75 82 75 83 / 20 10 20 10
MARATHON 75 83 75 83 / 20 20 20 20
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY FOR GMZ052>055-
072>075.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...DP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....DP
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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