195
FXUS62 KKEY 100237
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1037 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH PRESSURE DOMINANT ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RELATIVELY UNREMARKABLE WEATHER.
- GENERALLY MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES WILL PREVAIL OVER THE EARLY
WEEK, EVENTUALLY VEERING TO THE SOUTHEAST SOMETIME DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
- MODERATE DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR THE ENTIRE ISLAND CHAIN. BURN
BANS ARE POSSIBLE, TREES AND BUSHES BEGIN BROWNING, AND WATER
SUPPLY DECREASES. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS (10%
TO 20%) OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 830 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
DEEP LAYERED RIDGING IS IN PLACE ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE KEYS THIS
EVENING. THE SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHES ACROSS THE PENINSULA AND IS
MAINTAINING GENTLE EASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS. WHILE THIS
EVENINGS SOUNDING WAS CUT SHORT, IT DID INDICATE CONSIDERABLE
LOWER TO MID LEVEL DRY AIR WITH NO INSTABILITY BELOW 850 MB. THIS
HAS BEEN ABLE TO KEEP SHOWERS OUT OF THE LOCAL AREA THROUGH THE
EVENING. CONDITIONS AT THE SURFACE ARE WARM AND RELATIVELY HUMID
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S AND DEW POINTS NEAR 70.
RIDGING WILL CONTINUE TO RULE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. THIS
WILL KEEP GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS. THE
STEADY FLOW WILL MAINTAIN ABOVE NORMAL SURFACE CONDITIONS WITH
LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S AND DEW POINTS REMAINING NEAR 70. RAIN
CHANCES WILL REMAIN SLIM DUE TO THE LACK OF FORCING, LOWER TO MID
LEVEL DRY AIR, AND LACK OF INSTABILITY.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 830 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
A SURFACE ATLANTIC RIDGE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
OVERNIGHT. THIS MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES
ACROSS KEYS WATERS OVERNIGHT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 830 PM EDT MON MAR 9 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS OVERNIGHT.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE GENTLE OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....LIW
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