228
FXUS62 KKEY 040816
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
416 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT TO GENTLE BROADLY SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN AT SEASONABLE LEVELS (20-30%),
WITH THE USUAL HOT AND MUGGY CONDITIONS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 430 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2026
SLOPPY SURFACE THROUGH LOWER LEVEL RIDGING ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE
SOUTHEAST IS RESPONSIBLE FOR LIGHT MOSTLY SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES
ACROSS THE KEYS THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS ARE SEASONABLE WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 80S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE UPPER 70S.
LAST EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED AMPLE INSTABILITY AND DEEP
LAYERED MOISTURE. AS A RESULT, A FEW CLUSTERS OF SHOWERS WITH AN
EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO HAVE BEEN PRESENT ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA.
THE WESTERN FLANK OF ATLANTIC RIDGING WILL BUILD ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN LIGHT TO
GENTLE MOSTLY SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS THIS WEEKEND.
THIS SEASONABLE REGIME WILL PERSIST WELL INTO NEXT WEEK, AND RESULT
IN NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS NEAR 90 AND LOWS IN THE
LOWER 80S. DEW POINTS WILL LINGER IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
NEBULOUS FLOW ALOFT AND DOMINANT RIDGING THROUGH THE LOWER
TROPOSPHERE SHOULD RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 430 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2026
WEAK RIDGING WILL MEANDER ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA THROUGH THE
WEEKENDED AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL KEEP BREEZES LIGHT TO
GENTLE AND BROADLY SOUTHEASTERLY. NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE IN THE
MORNING MARINE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 430 AM EDT SAT JUL 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS TODAY. THERE
WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DR
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