259  
FXUS62 KKEY 310912  
AFDKEY  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL  
512 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2026  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- CONDITIONS WILL BE MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR A REVERSE CLOUD LINE  
TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
- LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2026  
A MOSTLY UNEVENTFUL NIGHT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS UNFOLDED INTO A  
PEACEFUL MORNING. KBYX HAS REMAINED SHOWER-FREE FOR THE LAST  
SEVERAL HOURS. LAST NIGHT'S KKEY 00Z SOUNDING REVEALED A DRIER  
PROFILE EXPLAINING THE LACK OF SHOWERS EXPERIENCED OVERNIGHT.  
ACROSS THE ISLAND CHAIN TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID TO LOWER 80S  
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S. CLOUD COVERAGE SEEN ON NIGHTTIME  
MICROPHYSICS IS MOSTLY CLEAR FOR THE LOWER KEYS WHILE THE UPPER  
KEYS HAVE SOME UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS DRIFTING THROUGH. ALONG THE  
REEF, MARINE LOCATIONS ARE REPORTING MOSTLY LIGHT AND VARIABLE  
WINDS. FOR TODAY, WITH THESE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS CLOUD LINE  
DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE SIMILARLY TO YESTERDAY WITH POSSIBLE  
WATERSPOUTS ASSOCIATED WITH THAT. OUTSIDE OF SHOWERS PRODUCED FROM  
THE CLOUD LINES, LIMITED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED FOR THE  
DAY. THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO LAST FOR THE NEXT FEW PERIODS. AS  
A TROUGH MOVES EASTERLY ON SUNDAY, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO FRESHEN  
AND BECOME SOUTHEAST TO EAST ONCE AGAIN. THIS TROUGH WILL ALSO  
REIGNITE THE MOISTURE RESULTING IN HIGHER RAIN CHANCES FOR LATER  
IN THE WEEK. STAY TUNED.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2026  
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR  
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF  
AN ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE WESTWARD ACROSS  
THE FLORIDA KEYS COASTAL WATERS. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WEAK  
NEBULOUS FLOW, RESULTING IN LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES. A COL REGION  
WILL SET UP TODAY INTO THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND, RESULTING IN  
A POTENTIAL PERIOD OF LIGHT AND VARIABLE BREEZES. AS HIGH  
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC, SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL  
FRESHEN BY THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2026  
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF  
PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO  
A CLOUD LINE. NO MENTION OF VCSH AT THIS TIME BUT IF A CLOUD LINE  
DOES DEVELOP IT WILL BE ADDED TO THE TERMINALS.  
 
 
   
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP  
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP  
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP  
 
VISIT US ON THE WEB AT WEATHER.GOV/KEY  
 
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