398
FXUS62 KKEY 010940
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
540 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
- A MORE ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS BY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES AND INCREASING SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 540 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2026
ANOTHER NIGHT OF SHOWER-FREE KBYX RADAR. WHILE THE ATLANTIC
SURFACE RIDGE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE OUR WEATHER NOT MUCH HAS
CHANGED IN THE LAST 24 HOURS. WINDS ALONG THE REEF ARE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. TODAY WE CAN
EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE THOUGH OFF THE UPPER KEYS
THERE COULD BE ANOTHER SLIGHT FRESHENING OF BREEZES IN THE
AFTERNOON. WATERSPOUT FORMATION IS POSSIBLE AGAIN IF A CLOUD LINE
IS ABLE TO DEVELOP FROM THE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
EARLY THIS WEEK THE MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL STILL BE IN PLACE OVER
THE SOUTHEAST AND IN THE GULF WATERS THOUGH MID LEVEL RIDGING WILL
ATTEMPT TO PUSH BACK IN THE REGION. SURFACE HIGH IN THE WESTERN
ATLANTIC WILL RESULT IN WINDS BECOMING MORE EASTERLY TO
SOUTHEASTERLY AND SLIGHTLY FRESHENING AROUND MONDAY. MOISTURE WILL
MOVE INTO THE AREA AND RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE THIS
WEEK THOUGH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING HIGHER THAN WHAT WE HAVE
ADVERTISED. EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH A MAJORITY OF THE
WEEK AND RAIN CHANCES WILL PEAK ON WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THEREAFTER, MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL RETURN WITH NEAR NORMAL RAIN
CHANCES.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 540 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, WEAK NEBULOUS FLOW WITH
LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES WILL CONTINUE AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
AN ATLANTIC SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES WESTWARD ACROSS THE KEYS PUTTING
THE COASTAL WATERS IN A COL REGION. AS HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS
IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC, SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL FRESHEN BY THE
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN ADDITION,
RAIN CHANCES WILL ALSO BE INCREASING BY NEXT WEEK AS DEEPER
MOISTURE SPREADS INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
APPROACHING NORTHERN FLORIDA.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 540 AM EDT SAT AUG 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. LIMITED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED TODAY THEREFORE NO
MENTION OF VCSH AT EITHER TERMINAL. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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