983
FXUS62 KKEY 081729
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
129 PM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- GENTLE TO MODERATE BROADLY EASTERLY BREEZES WILL PREVAIL,
PEAKING OVERNIGHT AND LULLING DURING THE DAY.
- NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL SHOWER AND THUNDER CHANCES WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 128 PM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. AS SHOWER COVERAGE IS EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT MENTION OF VCSH HAS BEEN TAKEN OUT OF BOTH TERMINALS.
NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY AT NEAR 10 KNOTS THROUGH
TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1111 AM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, AN ATLANTIC HIGH OFF THE
MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL EXTEND A RIDGE ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA AND
THE GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL
MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE MOSTLY EASTERLY BREEZES ON OUR WATERS
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. EXPECT
SIZABLE SWINGS IN WIND SPEEDS, LULLING DURING THE DAY AND PEAKING
OVERNIGHT. PERIODIC CAUTIONS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR PORTIONS OF
OUR WATERS EARLY NEXT WEEK. SHOWER AND THUNDER CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE DURATION.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 400 AM EDT SAT AUG 8 2026
CONSIDERABLY DRIER CONDITIONS HAVE FINALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA.
THIS IS DUE TO DEEP LAYERED ATLANTIC RIDGING CENTERED OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST EXPANDING WESTWARD INTO THE GULF. IN ADDITION,
WINDS HAD RELAXED TO A LIGHT TO GENTLE BREEZES THROUGH THE
EVENING. PRECIPITABLE WATER HAS ALSO FALLEN TO 2.08 INCHES. THIS
IS STILL ABOVE THE 75 PERCENTILE FOR THE DAY AND INHIBITION HAS
BEEN ABSENT. HOWEVER, CAPE WAS LIMITED BELOW 800 MB.
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE LOWER LEVEL TROUGH, EAST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES HAVE INCREASED TO GENTLE TO MODERATE ACROSS
THE AREA AS THE SURFACE RIDGE EXERTS MORE CONTROL OVER OUR AREA.
THIS RIDGE WILL REMAIN PLANTED ACROSS FLORIDA AND THE GULF THROUGH
THE DURATION OF THE FORECAST. EXPECT BREEZES TO PEAK IN THE GENTLE
TO MODERATE RANGE OVERNIGHT AND LULL TO LIGHT TO GENTLE DURING THE
DAY. NO TREND IN TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS REMAINING
NEAR 90 AND LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. DEW POINTS WILL HOVER IN
THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
IN GENERAL, THE DEEP LAYERED RIDGING WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES SLIM
TO NONE THROUGH THE FORECAST, SCATTERED ACTIVITY CURRENTLY WORKING
ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD DIMINISH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
IN ADDITION, A SUBTLE LOWER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS OUR
AREA SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND MAY NUDGE POPS UP INTO LOW
CHANCE RANGE.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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