859
FXUS62 KKEY 290224
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1024 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
- MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND, THOUGH OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF MODERATE BREEZES
WILL OCCUR, ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE ISLAND CHAIN.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE STRETCHING ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA IS RESULTING IN
LIGHT TO GENTLE EASTERLY BREEZES ALONG THE KEYS THIS EVENING. THE
LATEST SOUNDING INDICATED AMPLE CAPE, BUT WITH A TINY NOSE OF LOW
LEVEL INHIBITION. AS A RESULT, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS BEEN
SPARSE. BUT WHAT HAS BEEN ABLE TO SPROUT HAD A GOOD CHANCE OF
BECOMING QUITE DEEP. CONDITIONS ARE SEASONABLE WITH TEMPERATURES
IN THE MID 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70S.
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT, WINDS SHOULD INCREASE A SLIGHT BIT, BUT
REMAIN LARGELY LIGHT. HIGH INSTABILITY WITH WEAK INHIBITION WILL
REMAIN THROUGH THE NIGHT. MESOSCALE MODELS DO INDICATE FURTHER
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE NIGHT AND TOWARDS MORNING. THE
LIKELY TRIGGERS WILL BE THE COPIOUS BOUNDARIES PRESENT ACROSS THE
AREA. WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST LOW CHANCE POPS. EXPECT OVERNIGHT
LOWS TO BE BROADLY IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH DEW POINTS HOLDING
IN THE MID 70S.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
A SURFACE RIDGE ACROSS CENTRAL FLORIDA, ALONG WITH THE USUAL
EVENING PICKUP, WILL RESULT IN LIGHT TO GENTLE EASTERLY BREEZES
PICKING UP TO A GENTLE TO MODERATE BREEZE. ONLY MINOR FIRST PERIOD
WIND TRANSITIONAL WORDING HAS BEEN ADJUSTED IN THE EVENING MARINE
UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT FRI AUG 28 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS. THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS THE ENVIRONMENT
IS QUITE UNSTABLE. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND MAINLY EASTERLY.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....DM
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