902
FXUS62 KKEY 310240
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
1040 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED AS AN UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THE EARLY PART OF THIS WEEK.
- MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE BROADLY EASTERLY BREEZES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, THOUGH OCCASIONAL PERIODS OF MODERATE
BREEZES ARE EXPECTED.
- THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY REMAIN EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND MAY
BRING A PERIOD OF MUCH HIGHER RAIN CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2026
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING WESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES IS MAINTAINING LIGHT TO GENTLE NORTHEASTERLY TO
EASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE KEYS THIS EVENING. LOWER LEVEL RIDGING
IS IN A BIT MORE CONTROL OVER THE AREA AS EARLIER WEAK TROUGHING
IS LIFTING OUT. IN ADDITION, UPPER LEVEL RIDGING HAS BECOME
ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA. MOISTURE DOES REMAIN
HIGH WITH THIS EVENINGS SOUNDING INDICATED PRECIPITABLE WATERS
SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR THE DATE AT 2.2 INCHES.
LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY WAS LIMITED WITH SUFFICIENT BUT THIN CAPE
ABOVE. AFTER A FLURRY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A TRAFFIC
JAM OF BOUNDARIES AROUND THE LOWER AND UPPER KEYS, ACTIVITY HAS
NEARLY COMPLETELY DIED OUT.
BROAD RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL OVERNIGHT AND SURFACE BREEZES
WILL REMAIN LIGHT TO GENTLE, SHIFTING EASTERLY. EXPECT OVERNIGHT
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S WITH DEW POINTS REMAINING IN THE MID
TO UPPER 70S. LITTLE CHANGE IN THE ATMOSPHERIC PROFILE IS EXPECTED
AND SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES FOR THE NIGHT WILL REMAIN NEAR
TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2026
A BROAD SURFACE RIDGE REACHING WESTWARD ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES WILL MAINTAIN GENTLE TO MODERATE NORTHEAST TO
EASTERLY BREEZES. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORM EASTERLY THROUGH
THE NIGHT. ONLY SUBTLE WIND DIRECTION TRANSITIONS INTRODUCED FOR
THE EVENING MARINE UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 30 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AT THE ISLAND TERMINALS.
SHOWER AND THUNDER POTENTIAL WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TO GENTLE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TO EAST,
BECOMING EAST.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...11
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....11
DATA ACQUISITION.....AJP
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