429
FXUS62 KKEY 010912
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
512 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH POSSIBLE AFTERNOON CLOUD LINE DEVELOPMENT.
- MAINLY LIGHT TO GENTLE BROADLY EASTERLY BREEZES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK.
- THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY MAY BRING A PERIOD OF MUCH HIGHER RAIN
CHANCES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
A MOSTLY UNEVENTFUL NIGHT HAS UNFOLDED FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS INTO A
PEACEFUL EARLY MORNING. ONLY A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE BEING
DETECTED IN THE OFFSHORE WATERS AND THE ISLAND CHAIN HAS REMAINED
SHOWER FREE. TEMPERATURES ACROSS LAND ARE IN THE MID TO LOWER 80S
AND DEW POINTS ARE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S MAKING FOR A HUMID WARM
MORNING. ALONG THE REEF, LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES HAVE
PERSISTED. AS RIDGING CONTINUES TO BE THE DOMINATE FEATURE FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS, LIGHT AND PRIMARILY EASTERLY BREEZES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW PERIODS. CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN AT NEAR NORMAL THROUGH MID WEEK. MID TO
LATE THIS WEEK, CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
INCREASE AS THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY START TO MOVE INTO THE AREA. AT
THIS TIME, THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE THURSDAY AND THURSDAY
NIGHT BUT THAT COULD CHANGE AS WHAT'S LEFT OF DOLLY CONTINUES
MOVING TOWARDS OUR AREA. STAY TUNED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
AN ATLANTIC HIGH REMAINS IN CONTROL OF THE KEYS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. THEREFORE, EXPECT CONTINUED PEAKING AND LULLING
BREEZES. THE DIRECTION WILL ALSO SHIFT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH
EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES OVERNIGHT AND IN THE MORNING WITH
NORTHEAST TO EAST BREEZES LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION,
THE OVERALL FLOW WILL KEEP DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE
REGION WITH DAILY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY
HAZARDOUS WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN THE VICINITY OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 512 AM EDT TUE SEP 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BUT CONFIDENCE ON EXACT LOCATION AND TIMING LEAVES
MENTION OF VCSH OUT OF THE TAFS FOR THE TIME BEING. NEAR SURFACE
WINDS WILL BE EASTERLY AT NEAR 5 KNOTS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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