969
FXUS62 KKEY 040851
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
451 AM EDT FRI SEP 4 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT ACROSS THE REGION WILL SUPPORT DAILY
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY WARM, WITH HIGHS NEAR 90, AND
LOWS IN THE LOWER 80S.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 451 AM EDT FRI SEP 4 2026
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS HAVE CONTINUED TO
WAX AND WANE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT INTO THIS MORNING. WHILE A
MAJORITY OF THE SHOWERS HAVE REMAINED OVER THE WATER, A FEW PLACES
IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS HAVE SEEN SOME LIGHT SHOWERS, A RAIN
GAUGE REPORT ON DUCK KEY REPORTED 01.0 INCHES OF RAIN. MIMIC
PRECIPITABLE WATER DEPICTS VERY MOIST AIR IS STILL IN OUR AREA
WITH THE EASTERNMOST WATERS HAVING AROUND 2.3 INCHES WHICH CHECKS
OUT WITH THE CURRENT SHOWERS ARE MOSTLY IN THE EASTERN WATERS. FOR
TODAY SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE POPPING UP IN
VARIOUS LOCATIONS THROUGHOUT THE KEYS THEREFORE WENT WITH 40% POPS
FOR THE DAY. AS A WEAK NORTH ATLANTIC HIGH STILL IS IN CONTROL
BREEZES WILL BE SIMILAR TO WHAT WE'VE BEEN SEEING WITH SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTHERLY AND LIGHT TO GENTLE. LATE THIS WEEK INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK, A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PUSH OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC
SUPPRESSING THE RIDGE RESULTING IN WINDS TO CONTINUING TO BE
LIGHT TO GENTLE AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TO CONTINUING FLOWING
INTO OUR AREA. FOR NOW, THE HIGHEST CHANCES FOR RAIN ARE FORECAST
FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT AT 50% POPS. THEREAFTER 40% IS
EXPECTED FOR A MAJORITY OF THE WEEK. STAY TUNED FOR ANY UPDATES ON
TIMING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 451 AM EDT FRI SEP 4 2026
NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THE FLORIDA KEYS WATERS. FROM SYNOPSIS, THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
A WEAK NORTH ATLANTIC HIGH WILL REMAIN IN LOOSE CONTROL OF THE
KEYS COASTAL WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LIGHT TO GENTLE,
OCCASIONALLY MODERATE, EAST TO SOUTHEAST BREEZES OVERNIGHT THROUGH
MORNING WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS. IN ADDITION, THE OVERALL FLOW WILL KEEP
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION, WITH SEASONALLY
NORMAL RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 451 AM EDT FRI SEP 4 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. AS MOISTURE LINGERS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
LATE MORNING THEREFORE VCSH IS INCLUDED AT BOTH TERMINALS AFTER
16Z. NEAR SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEASTERLY AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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