526
FXUS62 KKEY 020858
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
458 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MINOR TO MODERATE SALTWATER FLOODING OF LOW ELEVATION STREETS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY. DON'T DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS. BOATERS CAN EXPECT LESS CLEARANCE UNDER FIXED BRIDGES.
- A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WATERS OF THE
FLORIDA STRAITS AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF, AND SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION IN ALL OTHER WATERS UNTIL WINDS DECREASE THIS
AFTERNOON.
- A WET PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. RAIN AND THUNDER
CHANCES WILL DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 458 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
ONCE AGAIN ANOTHER BUSY KBYX START TO THE MORNING FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS AREA. CURRENTLY, SHOWERS ARE MOSTLY IN THE DISTANT STRAITS
AND WEST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN. TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE MID 80S WITH
DEWPOINTS NEAR 80 MAKING FOR A MUGGY MORNING. ALONG THE REEF,
MARINE LOCATIONS ARE REPORTING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF 15
TO 20 KNOTS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HEADLINES ARE STILL IN EFFECT IN
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND SOUTHEASTERN GULF WATERS WHILE
ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION. BREEZES ARE
EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY SLACKEN THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND HEADLINES
COULD BE TAKEN DOWN BY TONIGHT. AMPLE MOISTURE REMAINS IN THE
AREA AS IT CONTINUES TO FLOW IN FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN. FOR
TODAY, WE ARE EXPECTING ANOTHER DAY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
THOUGH IT IS ON THE DOWNWARD TREND FROM WHAT WE EXPERIENCED
YESTERDAY. MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THE MIDDLE KEYS COULD BE MORE OF
A TARGET TODAY WITH FLOODING RAIN POSSIBLE. AS THE WEEKEND
PROGRESSES THE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN CONTRIBUTING TO HIGHER RAIN
CHANCES WILL EASE OFF AND NEAR NORMAL RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 458 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WATERS, ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS DECREASE. FROM SYNOPSIS, HIGH PRESSURE
OFFSHORE OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL REMAIN IN PLACE INTO THE
WEEKEND. THIS FEATURE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO FRESH
SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA AND
SOUTHWESTERN GULF WATERS THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS, BREEZES
ARE ON TRACK TO SLACKEN TO MODERATE BY THIS AFTERNOON.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL THIS WEEKEND WITH
WIDESPREAD MODERATE BREEZES ON SATURDAY AND SUBSIDING TO GENTLE TO
MODERATE ON SUNDAY. THE WINDS WILL REMAIN SOUTHEASTERLY INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND GENERALLY REMAIN LESS THAN 10 KNOTS AND SEAS 2
FEET OR LESS. IN ADDITION, A WET WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
ACROSS THE KEYS MARINE ZONES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN
PERIODS OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 458 AM EDT FRI OCT 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. A FEW ROUNDS OF CONVECTION ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWEST
THROUGH THE ISLAND CHAIN THIS MORNING RESULTING IN THE
POSSIBILITIES OF TEMPOS INCLUDING MVFR OR IFR CONDITIONS. DURING
CONVECTION WIND GUSTS OF NEAR 25 KNOTS ARE POSSIBLE. OUTSIDE OF
CONVECTION, EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS OF NEAR 10 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ076.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GMZ033-034-
052>055-072>075.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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