945
FXUS62 KKEY 060907
AFDKEY
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KEY WEST FL
507 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MINOR SALTWATER FLOODING OF LOW ELEVATION STREETS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TONIGHT DUE TO HIGHER HIGH TIDES. SOME STORM DRAINS
WILL OVERFLOW. BOATERS CAN EXPECT LESS CLEARANCE UNDER FIXED
BRIDGES.
- BELOW NORMAL RAIN AND THUNDER CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT
LEAST TONIGHT. THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN RAINFALL CHANCES FOR
THE LATTER PART OF THE WORK WEEK AND THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 507 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
ANOTHER MOSTLY UNEVENTFUL NIGHT WITH LIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS
POPPING UP IN VARIOUS LOCATIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE WATERS
SURROUNDING. CURRENTLY, ONLY A FEW SHOWERS CAN BE SEEN ON KBYX IN
THE DISTANT STRAITS WATERS. TEMPERATURES ALONG THE ISLAND CHAIN
ARE NEAR 80 WITH DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S MAKING FOR A
MUGGY START TO THE DAY. WINDS HAVE COLLAPSED AND ARE BEING
RECORDED AT MARINE LOCATION ALONG THE REEF AT NEAR 5 KNOTS. FOR
TODAY, THINGS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CHANGE MUCH WITH SLIGHT CHANCES
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT. LIGHT
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL SLOWLY SLACKEN SOUTHERLY BY TONIGHT.
LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK'S FORECAST REMAINS
AS WE WAIT TO SEE WHERE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OUT. STAY
TUNED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 507 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
A COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS ISLAND
CHAIN. ELSEWHERE, NO WATCHES, WARNINGS, OR ADVISORIES ARE IN
EFFECT. FROM SYNOPSIS, RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA WILL CONTINUE TO
ENCOURAGE LIGHT TO GENTLE SOUTHEASTERLY BREEZES ACROSS THE LOCAL
WATERS. OCCASIONAL, ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE, BUT MOST OF THE
AREA WILL STAY DRY THROUGH TODAY. A COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK
TO STALL ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA AND NORTHERN GULF DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WITH THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES REMAINING NORTH
OF THE FLORIDA KEYS. THIS WILL PROMOTE A SHIFT TO LIGHT TO GENTLE
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZES BY MIDWEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 507 AM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT BOTH EYW AND MTH THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. WHILE DRY AIR IS LIMITING A MAJORITY OF SHOWER ACTIVITY A
FEW SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE BUT CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND
LOCATION LEAVES MENTION OF VCSH OUT FOR THE TIME BEING. NEAR
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY SUBTLY VEERING
SOUTHERLY BY TONIGHT.
KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/MARINE/FIRE...AP
AVIATION/NOWCASTS....AP
DATA ACQUISITION.....AP
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