137
FXUS64 KLCH 292009
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
309 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXTENDS SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, ENDING THE
HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE STORM THREAT.
- WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, BEFORE
THE NEXT THREAT FOR STORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
CURRENTLY SEEING A LARGE CLUSTER OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN PARTS OF ACADIANA, CAUSING SOME FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG THE
WAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN THREAT WILL DIMINISH AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.
LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING, EXPECTING WIDESPREAD FOG THAT
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE DENSE AT TIMES. WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING A
DENSE FOG ADVISORY AT THIS TIME, BUT IT MAY BECOME NECESSARY LATER
THIS EVENING - STAY TUNED!
SUNDAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY AND WARM, WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SPC HAS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING OVER CENTRAL LOUISIANA, BECOMING A MARGINAL THREAT ALONG
THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS IN
NORTH LOUISIANA, EXTENDING ALL THE WAY UP TO OHIO.
A COLD FRONT WILL END THE RAIN CHANCES AS IT MOVES THROUGH OUR
REGION DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, BUT I AM NOT SEEING A SIGNIFICANT
DROP IN TEMPERATURES BEHIND THE FRONT - HIGHS MONDAY AFTERNOON
WILL STILL BE IN THE 80S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE DRY AND WARM - CONTINUING HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN IS MAINLY IN
CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND EAST TEXAS THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, AS A
SHORTWAVE TRIES TO WORK ITS WAY FURTHER SOUTH. CONFIDENCE IS LOW
AT THIS TIME, SO STAY TUNED FOR UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL WEATHER
MAKER LATER IN THE WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1209 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE SEEN IN THE VICINITY OF
SEVERAL TAF SITES. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS AND SHOULD BE OVER BY THIS EVENING. FOG AND LOW
CEILINGS WILL BECOME A PROBLEM LATER TONIGHT, SO IFR IS EXPECTED
TO PREVAIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT SAT MAR 29 2025
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD FRONT WILL
BRIEFLY SHIFTS WINDS TO THE NORTH LATE MONDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS LATER DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AND WILL PREVAIL FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 65 85 66 81 / 0 10 80 30
LCH 67 80 69 84 / 0 10 30 20
LFT 69 83 71 84 / 10 10 50 40
BPT 68 81 69 86 / 0 10 10 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...15
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