056
FXUS64 KLCH 300842
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
342 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EXTENDS SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, ENDING THE
HEAVY RAINS AND SEVERE STORM THREAT.
- WARM AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, BEFORE
THE NEXT THREAT FOR STORMS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 336 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
A WARM AND MUGGY AIRMASS IS CURRENTLY OVER THE REGION. STRATUS IS
BLANKETING THE AREA AND FOG IS GRADUALLY THICKENING ALONG THE
COAST. MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE DRIVEN NORTH FROM THE GULF BETWEEN
A RIDGE OVER THE ATLANTIC AND A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE PLAINS.
THROUGH TODAY AN UPPER DISTURBANCE OVER TX AND OK WILL PUSH
NORTHEAST WHILE DRIVING A COLD FRONT SOUTH. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM A
FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS DAYTIME HEATING OCCURS
ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF THE LOCAL AREA. THE MAIN EVENT WILL BE
FROM LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. WHILE THE MAIN
DYNAMICS ARE EXPECTED TO BE REMOVED TO THE NORTH, THE SOUTHERN END
OF A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS MAY MOVE THROUGH INTERIOR SE TX INTO
THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN. SPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED PORTIONS OF THE AREA AS
A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER MAINLY TONIGHT INTO
EARLY MONDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MONDAY WITH DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY
COOLER WEATHER MONDAY.
THE ASSOCIATED RIDGE WILL EXIT EAST BOUND TUESDAY BEGINING THE
RETURN FLOW BY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 336 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND, AN UPPER RIDGE PARKS IN THE
VICINITY OF FL WHILE AN UPPER LOW MOVES AROUND THE SW STATES.
MULTIPLE DAYS OF DREARY WEATHER MAY OCCUR, BUT THE GREATER CHANCES
FOR RAIN MAY STAY NORTH OF THE AREA UNTIL THE WEEKEND WHEN
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
AREAS OF DENSE FOG TO BRING LIFR VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS TO
BPT/LCH/LFT/ARA FROM 09-14Z. FOR AEX/LFT/ARA, EXPECT MVFR/IFR
VISIBILITIES/CEILINGS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. BY 15Z SUNDAY,
EXPECT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS TO PICK UP 12-14 KTS WITH GUSTS
20-22 KTS. NEXT AREA OF SHRA/TSRA LIKELY TO APPROACH AEX BY LATE
IN THE PERIOD, BUT LIKELY BEYOND THE 24 HOUR RANGE AT THIS POINT.
08/DML
MARINE
ISSUED AT 336 AM CDT SUN MAR 30 2025
A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH 10
AM FOR THE INLAND LAKES AND BAYS PLUS THE GULF WATERS TO 20 NM
FROM SHORE. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE UNTIL A COLD FRONT WILL
BRIEFLY SHIFTS WINDS TO THE NORTH LATE MONDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW
RETURNS LATER DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY AND WILL PREVAIL FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 85 65 80 56 / 10 80 30 10
LCH 81 70 84 64 / 10 30 20 0
LFT 84 71 83 64 / 20 50 40 0
BPT 82 69 85 64 / 10 20 10 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR LAZ044-045-
055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ201-261-
262-515-516-615-616.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR GMZ430-432-
435-436-450-452-455.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...08
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