535
FXUS64 KLCH 202316
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
616 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE UPCOMING
WEEK, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RUN 2-4 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK,
WHILE LOW TEMPERATURES WILL RUN AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
- TIDES WILL RUN ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEK WITH A MODERATE ONSHORE
FLOW.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2025
WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WERE SEEN TODAY IN
LOCATIONS MAINLY NORTH OF THE I-10 CORRIDOR. TEMPERATURES WERE IN
THE LOWER 80S AND WINDS WERE OUT OF THE SOUTH, GUSTING MAINLY IN
THE 25 TO 35 MPH RANGE.
A COLD FRONT IS LOCATED NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS TEXAS, AND IT WILL
APPROACH OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. HOWEVER, IT NEVER
MAKES IT PAST US, AND IN FACT, ACTUALLY BACKS UP TO OUR NORTH AS
A WARM FRONT LATER ON MONDAY NIGHT. WHAT THIS MEANS IS WE WILL NOT
SEE AS MUCH RAIN AS INITIALLY THOUGHT FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY,
WITH SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA SEEING LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH,
AND PARTS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA SEEING MAYBE
AN INCH OR SO. THE SEVERE STORM THREAT LOOKS LOW AS WELL.
WE WILL STILL SEE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW ON TUESDAY, SO STILL
EXPECTING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND MAYBE A THUNDERSTORM, BUT RAIN
TOTALS WILL BE ON THE LOW SIDE, LESS THAN HALF AN INCH. NO SEVERE
STORMS ARE EXPECTED.
TEMPERATURE-WISE, WE WILL RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE
HIGHS - IN THE LOWER 80S, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S - AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2025
WEDNESDAY LOOKS LIKE THE WETTEST DAY OF THE WEEK, WITH RAIN TOTALS
RANGING FROM HALF AN INCH IN SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA, TO OVER AN
INCH IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS. SO FAR NOT EXPECTING SEVERE STORMS, BUT
WPC DOES HIGHLIGHT SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND WESTERN LOUISIANA IN A
SLIGHT RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN/FLASH FLOODING.
THE TREND FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK IS GOING DRIER AND WARMER.
BY SATURDAY NO RAIN IS EXPECTED, AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2025
WINDS INITIALLY WILL STILL BE GUSTY HOWEVER WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA. THE NEX THING IS TIMING
ANY IFR AND POSSIBLY LOCALLY LIFR AS SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS WORK ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW
MORINNG. THE ONLY AREA THAT WENT CATEGORICAL IS AT KBPT OTHERWISE
PROB30 WAS USED TO COMMUNICATE THE RISK.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 309 PM CDT SUN APR 20 2025
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT
TO MODERATE SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. TIDES WILL RUN AROUND A FOOT ABOVE NORMAL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 67 80 64 84 / 40 70 20 70
LCH 70 83 68 83 / 20 40 10 60
LFT 71 85 69 84 / 10 30 10 70
BPT 70 82 69 84 / 50 60 10 50
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...27
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