566
FXUS64 KLCH 280001
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
701 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH DAILY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 90S AND MAX HEAT INDICES FROM 98 TO 107 DEGREES.
- SOMEWHAT HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES SUNDAY IN RESPONSE TO
HIGHER TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGING INTO THE REGION.
- A WEAK UPPER RIDGE MAY BUILD IN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
INCREASING TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES AND SLIGHTLY
DECREASING RAIN CHANCES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
A RIDGE STRETCHES FROM THE ATLANTIC ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH IS KEEPING THE FLOW LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VRB ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. FARTHER WEST AND INTO TX, THE FLOW BECOMES MORE
SOUTHERLY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. ALOFT, THE REGION
LIES BETWEEN A TROUGH OUT WEST AND A UPPER LOW OVER AL AND GA WITH
WEAK RIDGING LOCALLY.
THE TYPICAL DIURNAL CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITH THE OVERALL
TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE ALONG THE
COAST AND OUTFLOW AND THE SEA BREEZE WILL DICTATE WHERE CONVECTION
FLOURISHES THROUGH SUNSET. SLIGHTLY HIGHER PWATS ARE NOTED TOWARD
THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN AND POINTS EAST WHICH WILL HAVE A HIGHER
COVERAGE.
RINSE AND REPEAT FOR SATURDAY.
HIGHER MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL WORK INTO THE WHOLE REGION
SUNDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED
AREA WIDE DECREASING AT SUNSET.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE SOME INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY BACK TO A MORE
TYPICAL SCATTERED SUMMER AFTERNOON SCENARIO.
A RIDGE ALOFT MAY BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND WHICH
MAY DECREASE RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY WHICH WILL IN TURN INCREASE
TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 655 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
DIURNAL DRIVEN CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS LEAD TO SCT TO BKN UPPER LEVEL CIRRUS / STRATUS.
VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL DURING THE NOCTURNAL HOURS.
SUBSIDENCE FROM WEAK RIDGING KEEPS MUCH OF THE PROFILE ABOVE 1.2KM
FAIRLY DRY, HOWEVER, SCT CLOUDS FROM MARINE MOISTURE ADVECTION
REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH OVERNIGHT HOURS. CONVECTION WILL INITIATE
ON AN ISOLATED SCALE LATE MORNING / EARLY AFTERNOON OF THE 28TH.
30
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
A SURFACE HIGH OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND INTO THE COASTAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW AND
LOW SEAS. DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH LITTLE
DAY TO DAY CHANGE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 331 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MAINTAIN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RH IN THE LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AS WELL AS CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND IN THE LOW TO MID 60S
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR TO THE COAST. TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH DAILY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH HOT, HUMID DAYS AND MUGGY NIGHTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 72 93 73 92 / 10 20 0 60
LCH 76 90 76 89 / 10 40 20 90
LFT 74 90 75 89 / 30 60 20 90
BPT 75 90 75 89 / 0 30 10 80
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page