182
FXUS64 KLCH 280453
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1153 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH DAILY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS, AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MID 90S AND MAX HEAT INDICES FROM 98 TO 107 DEGREES.
- SOMEWHAT HIGHER PRECIPITATION CHANCES SUNDAY IN RESPONSE TO
HIGHER TROPICAL MOISTURE SURGING INTO THE REGION.
- A WEAK UPPER RIDGE MAY BUILD IN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
INCREASING TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES AND SLIGHTLY
DECREASING RAIN CHANCES.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
A RIDGE STRETCHES FROM THE ATLANTIC ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH IS KEEPING THE FLOW LIGHT AND SOMEWHAT VRB ACROSS
THE LOCAL AREA. FARTHER WEST AND INTO TX, THE FLOW BECOMES MORE
SOUTHERLY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE RIDGE. ALOFT, THE REGION
LIES BETWEEN A TROUGH OUT WEST AND A UPPER LOW OVER AL AND GA WITH
WEAK RIDGING LOCALLY.
THE TYPICAL DIURNAL CONVECTION IS DEVELOPING WITH THE OVERALL
TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE ALONG THE
COAST AND OUTFLOW AND THE SEA BREEZE WILL DICTATE WHERE CONVECTION
FLOURISHES THROUGH SUNSET. SLIGHTLY HIGHER PWATS ARE NOTED TOWARD
THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN AND POINTS EAST WHICH WILL HAVE A HIGHER
COVERAGE.
RINSE AND REPEAT FOR SATURDAY.
HIGHER MOISTURE FROM THE GULF WILL WORK INTO THE WHOLE REGION
SUNDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED
AREA WIDE DECREASING AT SUNSET.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE SOME INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY BACK TO A MORE
TYPICAL SCATTERED SUMMER AFTERNOON SCENARIO.
A RIDGE ALOFT MAY BUILD OVER THE AREA WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND WHICH
MAY DECREASE RAIN CHANCES SLIGHTLY WHICH WILL IN TURN INCREASE
TEMPS A DEGREE OR TWO.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1145 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR THE NOCTURNAL HOURS. SFC WINDS TO BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE BUT GENERALLY TREND SOUTHERLY. WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE ALOFT ALLOWING SEVERAL DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS THROUGH THE
MID TROPOSPHERE. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION TO ALLOW FEW TO SCT
CLOUDS AROUND 3-5KFT THROUGH MORNING. WINDS FIRM MORE SOUTHERLY
BY MIDDAY WITH VICINITY TS POSSIBLE DURING LATE MORNING THROUGH
MID AFTERNOON. TS COVERAGE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED DURING
DAYLIGHT HOURS.
30
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
A SURFACE HIGH OFF THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND INTO THE COASTAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK RESULTING IN LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW AND
LOW SEAS. DAILY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH LITTLE
DAY TO DAY CHANGE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 331 AM CDT FRI JUN 27 2025
LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL MAINTAIN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WITH MINIMUM
AFTERNOON RH IN THE LOW TO MID 50S ACROSS INTERIOR SOUTHEAST
TEXAS AS WELL AS CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND IN THE LOW TO MID 60S
ALONG THE I-10 CORRIDOR TO THE COAST. TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH DAILY AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH HOT, HUMID DAYS AND MUGGY NIGHTS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 94 72 93 73 / 30 10 20 10
LCH 91 76 90 76 / 30 10 40 20
LFT 91 74 90 75 / 60 30 60 20
BPT 92 75 90 75 / 30 0 30 20
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
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