709
FXUS64 KLCH 230530
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL LINGER ALONG THE COAST OR JUST
OFFSHORE INTO NEXT WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN ELEVATED NEAR
THE BOUNDARY TODAY.
- A BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE MOUNTAIN WEST IS
EXPECTED TO BRING A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW INTO THE FORECAST AREA
OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES AND LESS HUMID
CONDITIONS SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
- ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT MAY ENTER THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS STALLED ALONG THE COAST THIS PAST
EVENING. ONLY A VERY MODEST REDUCTION IN DEWPOINTS HAS BEEN NOTED.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR CLIMO NORMALS. NOCTURNAL CONVECTION
IS ANTICIPATED ALONG THE BOUNDARY THIS MORNING WHICH MAY MOVE
JUST INLAND BY OR BEFORE SUNRISE.
THE STALLED FRONT STRETCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND
WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AN UPPER RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SW STATES WILL PROVIDE A
NORTHERLY FLOW THAT WILL DRIVE A DRIER AIRMASS SOUTH ACROSS THE
CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE COUNTRY. WHILE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TODAY, THE BEST COVERAGE WILL BE NEAR THE COAST OR ALONG
THE I-10 CORRIDOR. PWATS DROP FARTHER INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY
WHICH WILL DECREASE POPS TO ISOLATED AT BEST ALONG THE COAST.
EARLY NEXT WEEK THE NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DRIVE A REINFORCING FRONT
SOUTH ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
MODEST RAIN CHANCES RETURN BY TUESDAY AS THE NEXT FRONT MOVES INTO
THE AREA. THERE WILL BE A VERY SLIGHT COOL DOWN BEHIND THIS
BOUNDARY, HOWEVER DEWPOINTS MAY FALL INTO THE 60S AREA WIDE WHICH
WILL BE NICE CHANGE OF PACE FROM THE 70S TO NEAR 80 THAT THE
REGION HAS ENDURED SINCE JUNE.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK THE BOUNDARY WASHES OUT WHILE LIFTING
NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BACK IN AND THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
RETURN. THIS WILL PUSH THE DEWPOINTS BACK INTO THE MID 70S BY
FRIDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
PATCHY BR MAY OCCUR TOWARD MORNING AND SCATTERED STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE I-10 CORRIDOR. THIS MAY PRODUCE LOWER VIS AND
CEILINGS DURING THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY
NORTH TO NORTHEAST.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
NOCTURNAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH MORNING DURING THE
PERIOD. LIGHT AND VRB WINDS CAN BE ANTICIPATED THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, BUT AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN BY LATE NEXT
WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1230 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2025
A SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER IN DURING THE WEEKEND WITH
LESSENING RAIN CHANCES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 93 69 95 70 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 91 74 94 73 / 40 10 10 0
LFT 91 72 94 72 / 40 10 10 0
BPT 91 73 94 73 / 60 20 20 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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