161
FXUS64 KLCH 100527
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1227 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALLOW FOR DRY CONDITIONS WITH COOLER
THAN NORMAL NIGHT TIME LOWS TONIGHT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM WEDNESDAY AND THE LATTER PART OF THE
WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WEAKENS AND WINDS
BECOME MORE FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST.
- AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK
INTO THE WEEKEND KEEPING RAIN CHANCES OUT OF THE FORECAST.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
TONIGHT IS EXPECTED TO BE THE LAST DAY OF BEAUTIFUL BELOW NORM
TEMPS WITH CURRENT TEMPS ALREADY LOWER THAN THE NORM AND LIKELY TO
DROP BY ANOTHER 2 TO 4 DEGREES UNDER CLEAR SKIES. THE SURFACE
HIGH IS STEADILY LOSING ITS INFLUENCE OVER THE REGION AND A WEAK
TROUGH OVER THE GULF IS HELPING REINTRODUCE MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA. THIS COULD ALSO ASSIST IN SEEING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG
THE COASTAL AREAS, HOWEVER CHANCES STILL REMAIN PRETTY LOW.
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD IN OVER TX THEN CONTINUE TO DRIFT
EASTWARD OVER THE END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. A WARMING
TREND WILL ENSUE, WITH TEMPS RISING ABOUT 2 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE ENTIRE
LONG TERM PERIOD AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS, THEN REMAINS GENERALLY IN THE AREA. THIS WILL ALSO ASSIST
IN KEEPING POPS BELOW 15 PERCENT FOR THE ENTIRE LONG TERM.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
VFR CONDITIONS TO PERSIST PAST THE END OF THIS TAF CYCLE WITH
LITTLE TO NO CLOUD COVER. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND NE TONIGHT
BEFORE GRADUALLY TURNING OUT OF THE EAST THEN SE OVER THE DAY AND
INTO THE EVENING.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
SURFACE HIGH RIDGING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST WITH A STALLED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE MIDDLE GULF.
INTERACTION BETWEEN THESE FEATURES WILL ALLOW FOR A LIGHT TO MODEST
EASTERLY FLOW FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK ALONG WITH LIGHT TO
MODEST SEAS. A SCATTERED SHOWERS OR STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO
WEDNESDAY AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES ALONG THE FRONT, OTHERWISE A DRY
AIRMASS ALOFT WILL HELP KEEP SIGNIFICANT SHOWER ACTIVITY OUT OF
THE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1212 AM CDT WED SEP 10 2025
A DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL ALLOW FOR LITTLE TO NO CHANCE
FOR SIGNIFICANT RAIN AND LOWER THAN NORMAL HUMIDITY. AFTERNOON
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE BELOW 50 PERCENT ON
WEDNESDAY, AND BELOW 40 PERCENT FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 92 67 94 67 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 92 71 93 71 / 10 0 0 0
LFT 92 70 93 69 / 10 0 0 0
BPT 91 73 92 72 / 10 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...87
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION...87
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