518
FXUS64 KLCH 140525
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1225 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WEEK.
- HOT AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE PERIOD.
- LOWER THAN NORMAL DAYTIME HUMIDITY WILL KEEP HEAT INDICES CAPPED
IN THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 EACH DAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
AN UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE KEEPING RAIN CHANCES
SUPPRESSED AND TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.
HOWEVER, JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE AT THE LOW LEVELS ALONG WITH A VERY
SLIGHT WEAKNESS IN THE RIDGE TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR STORM, BUT MAINLY IN SW LA AND SE TX. COVERAGE IS
ANTICIPATED TO BE 10 TO 20% AT BEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN BY MID WEEK AS AN UPPER
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE UPPER MID WEST. MOISTURE IS STILL
EXPECTED TO BE LIMITED, HOWEVER A MODEST INCREASE IN RAIN CHANCES
IS EXPECTED BY MID TO LATE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY DECREASE A
DEGREE OR TWO AS WELL WITH THE EXTRA CLOUD COVER. NO PUSH OF
COOLER AIR IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE LONG TERM OR EVEN JUST
AFTER. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE NORMAL THE ENTIRE
PERIOD AND LIKELY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND AS WELL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
WINDS WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT AND EAST TO SOUTHEAST DURING THE
PERIOD. A MODEST INCREASE IN WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AS A WAVE PASSES WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION.
DRY AIR AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO A
MINIMUM.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1222 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2025
HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT, VARIABLE WINDS TO BE EXPECTED
TODAY INTO THE START OF THE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
OVER OR NEAR THE REGION INTO THE MID WEEK, HOWEVER, TODAY A BRIEF
WEAKENING OF THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE WITH A 10 TO 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM AS A RESULT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 93 69 93 68 / 10 0 0 0
LCH 92 73 91 72 / 20 0 0 0
LFT 91 71 91 71 / 10 0 0 0
BPT 91 73 91 72 / 20 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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