349
FXUS64 KLCH 030747
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
147 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH MILD AFTERNOONS AND COOL NIGHTS
EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH TUESDAY.
- WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, A WARMING TREND WILL TAKE
PLACE AS ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED ONCE AGAIN.
- ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY, OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS DRY
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND
STRETCHES FROM THE GULF COAST TO THE GREAT LAKES. ALOFT AN UPPER
TROUGH IS DEPARTING WHILE A RIDGE BUILDS IN. THE FLOW BETWEEN THESE
SYSTEMS IS NORTHERLY AND DRY.
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL EXIST MONDAY ACROSS THE REGION AS THE
FLOW REMAINS GENERALLY NORTH. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL
SHIFT TO THE ATLANTIC COAST BY TUESDAY TURNING THE FLOW BACK
ONSHORE. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN NIL AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT
AND PWATS STAY LESS THAN 0.5".
A SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND GREAT LAKES
REGION ERODING THE UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH WEDNESDAY. THE
ONSHORE FLOW WILL SERVE TO INCREASE TEMPS AND MOISTURE AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT WILL STALL ACROSS OK AND AR.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
THURSDAY MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE GULF AHEAD OF
LOW PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL PLAINS, HOWEVER SHOWER ACTIVITY IS NOT
FORECAST TO INCREASE UNTIL FRIDAY WHEN THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ENTERS THE AREA. PWATS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LOW WITH VALUES AROUND
1.25" LIMITING CONVECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL DECREASE ONCE AGAIN
DURING THE SECOND HALF OF WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
VFR WITH LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION CREATING LIGHT WINDS
AND LOW SEAS THROUGH MID WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST MON NOV 3 2025
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH MINIMUM RH
RANGES BETWEEN 25-40% THROUGH MID WEEK. WINDS TO RETURN OUT OF THE
SOUTH BY TUESDAY, WITH GULF MOISTURE SEEPING BACK IN.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 70 41 75 44 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 71 46 75 54 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 71 44 75 51 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 74 48 75 55 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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