362
FXUS64 KLCH 040531
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1131 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY.
- WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER HUMIDITY EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THE END OF THE WEEK.
- ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY
IS PROVIDING CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND COOL TEMPS ACROSS THE
FORECAST ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT. TEMPS SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOW TO
MID 40S AS WE APPROACH SUNRISE, WHICH WILL BE THE LAST TIME MOST OF
US SEE SUB-50 DEGREE TEMPS FOR ABOUT A WEEK. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TOWARDS THE CAROLINAS TODAY, TURNING WINDS BACK
TO THE SE BY THIS AFTERNOON. ONSHORE SURFACE WINDS WILL THEN PREVAIL
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM PERIOD, ALLOWING LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE TO INCREASE AND DEWPOINTS TO STEADILY RISE THROUGH THE NEXT
48 HOURS OR SO. TODAY WILL BE OUR LAST SEASONAL AND DRY DAY, WITH
DEWPOINTS EXPECTED TO REBOUND FROM THE LOW/MID 40S THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE LOW/MID 60S BY THURS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE WISE, HIGHS
REACH INTO THE MID 70S THIS AFTERNOON AND WARM INTO THE MID/UPPER
70S TOMORROW AND THURS, WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE WHERE MOISTURE
RETURN IS MOST NOTICEABLE, WITH LOWS IN THE LOW/MID 60S BY THURS
NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
AFTER A COUPLE OF DAYS OF STEADY MOISTURE RETURN, FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY BRING WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS BEFORE ANOTHER COLD FRONT
FINALLY ARRIVES ON SUNDAY. ON FRIDAY, A SURGE OF MOISTURE FROM THE
CENTRAL GULF WILL INTERACT WITH A PASSING UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO
PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS. MOST OF THIS CONVECTION LOOKS
TO BE MORE ACROSS SE LA, BUT SOME OF THESE STORMS COULD EXTEND
ACROSS THE I-49 CORRIDOR AND LOWER ACADIANA. ELSEWHERE, WARM AND
HUMID CONDITIONS PREVAIL WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S BOTH FRI
AND SAT.
FINALLY, A COLD FRONT ARRIVES SUNDAY MORNING, WITH WINDS TURNING
BACK TO THE NORTH BY SUNRISE. THIS FRONT MAY BE ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW
SHOWERS, BUT FRIDAY'S DISTURBANCE WILL LIKELY USE UP A GOOD CHUNK OF
THE AVAILABLE MOISTURE SO RAIN CHANCES ARE OVERALL VERY LOW.
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL SLOWLY FALL THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON
HOURS ON SUNDAY, WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID 70S. COLD AIR
ADVECTION CONTINUES OVERNIGHT INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK, WITH BELOW
AVERAGE TEMPS AND DRY WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
NO DEVIATIONS FROM VFR ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT TO
NEAR CALM WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE SE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS, REMAINING LIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
LIGHT ENE TO E WINDS WILL GRADUALLY TURN TO THE SE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST AWAY FROM THE REGION. LIGHT
TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW AND LOW SEAS WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER COLD
FRONT EARLY SUNDAY. A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLY ON
FRIDAY, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN MOST ZONES, WITH OTHERWISE DRY
CONDITIONS PREVAILING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1130 PM CST MON NOV 3 2025
MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON WILL AGAIN RANGE FROM 25-35%, WITH
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING GRADUALLY TURNING MORE SOUTHEAST
TO SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. ONSHORE FLOW WILL THEN PREVAIL
THROUGH SATURDAY, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY TO INCREASING
THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 70 40 74 45 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 71 45 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 70 44 74 53 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 73 47 76 56 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...17
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