401
FXUS64 KLCH 042238
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
438 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- FLOW OFF THE GULF WILL HELP BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER
HUMIDITY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
- WITH STABLE CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOG
MAY BE AN ISSUE TONIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING.
- A SHARP CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 436 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL
GRADUALLY MOVE TO THE EAST AND THIS WILL ALLOW A LIGHT SOUTHEAST
FLOW FROM THE GULF TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST DURING THE PERIOD. THIS
WILL HELP INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND BRING ABOUT A WARMING OF
TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL KEEP ANY RAIN CHANCES FROM OCCURRING
DESPITE THE INCREASE IN MOISTURE. HOWEVER, FOG MAY BECOME MORE OF
AN ISSUE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF NIGHTS WITH STABLE CONDITIONS TO
GO ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS, RADIATIONAL COOLING
SHOULD ALLOW AIR TEMPERATURES TO REACH DEW POINTS.
FOR TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING, PROBS ONLY SHOWING ABOUT A 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF VISIBILITY LESS THAN 1/4 OF A MILE SO WILL HOLD
OFF ON ANY DENSE FOG ADVISORY. WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY
MORNING SHOWS A BETTER CHANCE OF DENSE FOG.
RUA
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 436 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
WILL START OUT WITH VERY WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH FLOW
CONTINUING OFF THE GULF. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MAY BRING
ABOUT A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ON
FRIDAY. HOWEVER, AT THIS POINT OVERALL RAINFALL AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE
LIGHT.
OVER THE WEEKEND, RIDGING ALONG THE PACIFIC WILL ALLOW FOR A DIP
IN THE JET STREAM WITH A LARGE TROUGH EAST OF THE ROCKIES OPENING
THE DOOR FOR SOME COLD CANADIAN AIR TO MOVE DOWN TOWARD THE
REGION. THIS CANADIAN COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO ARRIVE ON EARLY
SUNDAY WITH GUIDANCE SHOWING THE COLDEST AIR OF THE SEASON SO FAR.
NBM DETERMINISTIC VALUES WHICH IS NEAR THE ENSEMBLE MEAN SUGGEST
THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES FOR LOCATIONS OF UPPER
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND CENTRAL LOUISIANA.
RUA
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 436 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL AREA AIRPORTS AND WILL PERSIST
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD FOR KAEX AND KBPT. KLCH AND KLFT WILL
DROP TO IFR CONDITIONS FOR A FEW HOURS NEAR DAYBREAK DUE TO LOWER
VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS FROM FOG. THESE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
BY MID MORNING TOMORROW AT BOTH AREA AIRPORTS. MSW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX MMM MMM MMM MMM / 0 0 0 0
LCH MMM MMM MMM MMM / 0 0 0 10
LFT MMM MMM MMM MMM / 0 0 0 0
BPT MMM MMM MMM MMM / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...05
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