160
FXUS64 KLCH 061813
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1213 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- WITH STABLE CONDITIONS AND AN INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FOG
WILL LIKELY BECOME AN ISSUE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
- A SHARP CANADIAN COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH SUNDAY BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK. PORTIONS OF THE
REGION MAY RECEIVE THEIR FIRST FREEZE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
A WEAK INVERTED TROUGH IS OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WHILE HIGH
PRESSURE IS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE CONUS. THE FLOW ALOFT
IS FAIRLY ZONAL, HOWEVER A SHORT WAVE IS MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS.
THROUGH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
INCREASE AS THE FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE REMAINS ONSHORE. A FEW
SHOWERS MAY MOVE INTO THE COASTAL AREAS THIS EVENING WITH THE
INVERTED TROUGH, HOWEVER ACCUMULATION, IF ANY AT ALL, WILL BE
LIGHT. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE INVERTED TROUGH WILL BE
LIFTED ACROSS THE ATCHAFALAYA BASIN AND SE LA FRIDAY. WHILE
CONDITIONS WILL BE RIPE FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT TONIGHT/TOMORROW
MORNING EXTRA CLOUD COVER FROM THE WEAK TROUGH MAY KEEP DENSE FOG
FROM BEING AS WIDESPREAD AS THIS PAST MORNING. WITH THAT SAID,
DENSE FOG IS STILL EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES
THROUGH SATURDAY WILL ALSO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
80S. RECORDS ARE IN THE UPPER 80S, HOWEVER.
THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE COUNTRY
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH ASSOCIATED FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING NORTH
OF THE REGION. A SECOND SHORT WAVE WILL PUSH INTO THE NORTHERN
PLAINS LATE FRI OR EARLY SUNDAY FARTHER BUCKLING THE ZONAL FLOW.
THIS WILL SEND A SECONDARY COLD FRONT SOUTH THAT ARRIVES SATURDAY
NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
COLD AIR ARRIVES SUNDAY. DUST OFF THE GUMBO POTS AND ROUX SPOONS.
HIGHS SUNDAY WILL BE AROUND 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN THE PREVIOUS
DAY AND EVEN ANOTHER 10-15 COLDER ON MONDAY. HIGHS MONDAY ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 AFTER A MORNING LOW IN
THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S. APPARENT TEMPS FOR BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY
MORNINGS WILL BE IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. BRRR. THE FIRST
FREEZE OF THE SEASON MAY OCCUR TUESDAY MORNING ACROSS WELL INLAND
AREAS.
THE COLD SNAP WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS HIGHS ARE FORECAST TO BE IN
THE MID 70S TO AROUND 80 WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
PATCHY MVFR CEILING MAY OCCUR THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER THE
BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE FOG AGAIN LATE TONIGHT. LIFR VIS SHOULD BE
ANTICIPATED DURING EARLY FRIDAY WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS AFTER
SUNRISE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
A LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW IS ANTICIPATED INTO SATURDAY, HOWEVER A
STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS SATURDAY
NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY. STRONG NORTH WINDS WILL NEAR GALE FORCE
GUSTS ARE ANTICIPATED BEHIND THE FRONT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1207 PM CST THU NOV 6 2025
HUMID CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING VERY GUSTY AND DRY NORTH WINDS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. LIGHT IF ANY RAIN IS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 61 82 60 84 / 0 10 0 0
LCH 66 82 65 83 / 10 0 10 0
LFT 64 82 64 83 / 10 10 10 10
BPT 64 82 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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