346
FXUS64 KLCH 251328
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
728 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW MORNING SHOWERS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST WITH WARM
AFTERNOON HIGHS NEAR 80 F AS CONDITIONS CLEAR.
- A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATER TODAY BRINGING DRIER AND
SEASONABLY COOL CONDITIONS FOR THANKSGIVING.
- RAIN RETURNS TO THE FORECAST THIS WEEKEND WITH AN APPROACHING
DISTURBANCE FROM THE WEST.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 723 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED FROM SOUTH TEXAS ACROSS DEEP
EAST TEXAS AND INTO ARKANSANS. BEHIND THE FRONT A COOLER AND DRIER
AIR MASS IS MOVING SOUTHEAST. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR A
PORTION OF THE LOCAL AREA AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. ENOUGH
INSTABILITY EXIST ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IN THE WARM
SECTOR FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO, BUT AS THE BOUNDARY MOVES
EAST CONDITIONS WILL BECOME LESS CONDUCIVE. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL DECREASE ACROSS SE TX BY SUNRISE, HOWEVER CONVECTION
WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ACADIANA INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THE COLD FRONT WILL EXIT SOUTH AND EAST LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON, HOWEVER HIGH TEMPS WILL STILL TOP OUT IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOW 80S. CAA WILL PUSH TEMPERATURES DOWN AROUND 10 DEGREES BY
WEDNESDAY AND EVEN SLIGHTLY BELOW CLIMO NORMALS BY THANKSGIVING.
THURSDAY'S WEATHER LOOKS DRY AND COOL WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S. WINDS
WILL BE NORTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 723 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLY BY EARLY
FRIDAY WHICH WILL BEGIN THE WARMING/MOISTENING TREND THAT WILL
LINGER THROUGH THE WEEKEND. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS BY SATURDAY AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER LOW OVER THE
ROCKIES. THIS WILL FARTHER INCREASE THE ONSHORE FLOW. MOISTURE AND
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FARTHER BY SUNDAY AS A WEAK COASTAL LOW
MOVES ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 723 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2025
AREAS OF MVFR TEMPO TO IFR CEILINGS ARE OCCURRING THIS MORNING
AND WILL GRADUALLY MIX OUT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ENTRAINS DRIER
AIR FROM THE NORTH. VFR CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN PERSISTENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS ALL TAF SITES.
30
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 77 50 64 36 / 20 0 0 0
LCH 81 54 69 42 / 30 0 0 0
LFT 81 54 69 39 / 50 0 0 0
BPT 82 53 70 43 / 20 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page