527
FXUS64 KLCH 190605
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1205 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY WITH CLEAR SKIES
- WARMTH AND HUMIDITY QUICKLY RETURN SATURDAY AND BEYOND AS
ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
- STRONG UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE CONUS LATE IN THE PERIOD,
REINFORCING THE UNSEASONABLE WARMTH AS WE APPROACH CHRISTMAS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
A DEPARTING COLD FRONT IS STRETCHED FROM DEEP SOUTH TEXAS TO SE LA
TO THE APPALACHIANS. AN INCOMING RIDGE HAS ALREADY DROPPED INTO
NORTH TEXAS.
CAA WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY TODAY AS THE FRONT DEPARTS AND THE
RIDGE BUILDS IN. WINDS HAVE BEEN GUSTY AT TIMES, BUT WILL DECREASE
THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING INCLUDING OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. UNDER
SUNNY SKIES, TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 10 TO 15
DEGREES LOWER THAN THURSDAY'S.
THE NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS THE RIDGE
QUICKLY SLIPS EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THE RETURN FLOW
WILL BEGIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT WITH A NEAR 10 DEGREE WARM UP INTO
SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
BY SUNDAY RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS A WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO
LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION, HOWEVER AMOUNTS ARE ANTICIPATED TO
LIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. FOG WILL ALSO BE CONCERN SUNDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
THE EXTENDED, INCLUDING CHRISTMAS, LOOKS WARM WITH TEMPERATURES
AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE CLIMO NORMS. OUTSIDE OF A FEW SHOWERS
MONDAY THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM LOOKS DRY AS A RIDGE ALOFT
MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND BECOME
VRB BY THIS EVENING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
AN SCA WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT EARLY THIS MORNING AS A RIDGE BUILDS
IN. THE OFFSHORE WINDS WILL SWING BACK ONSHORE BY SATURDAY AS A
RIDGE MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. A LIGHT TO MODERATE
ONSHORE FLOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. FOG
WILL BECOME AN ISSUE BY SUNDAY AS WARM MOIST AIR OVERRIDES COOLER
NEARSHORE WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST FRI DEC 19 2025
MINRH VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE LOW 30S. HOWEVER,
WINDS TURN SOUTH AGAIN BY LATE FRIDAY BRINGING HEAT AND HUMIDITY
RIGHT BACK INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. RH VALUES WILL LIKELY REMAIN NEAR TO ABOVE 60% THROUGHOUT
THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 60 38 74 58 / 0 0 0 30
LCH 62 45 74 62 / 0 0 0 10
LFT 62 43 74 60 / 0 0 0 10
BPT 63 48 76 62 / 0 0 0 10
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR GMZ450-452-
455-470-472-475.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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