572
FXUS64 KLCH 100602
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1202 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- PERIODS OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AREA-
WIDE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. ALL HAZARDS,
STRONG WINDS, TORNADOES AND HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.
- MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A WAY TO RECEIVE WARNINGS OVERNIGHT.
- LINGERING SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY MAY CAUSE SOME NUISANCE
FLOODING IN THE LOWER ACADIANA REGION.
- MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY AND WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE THRU NEXT WEEK. BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL
INCREASE WILD FIRE CONCERNS OVER THE WEEKEND. STRONG NORTH
WINDS WILL PREVAIL THRU MONDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR CENTRAL LOUISIANA UNTIL 4AM
TONIGHT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT
BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 4 AM. A SEVERE THREAT STILL EXISTS WITH THIS
SYSTEM BUT THE THREAT HAS DIMINISHED. THIS WILL BE THE LAST ROUND
OF CONVECTION BEFORE THE COLD, DRY AIR BEHIND THE FRONT MOVES
INTO THE REGION. COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL INCREASE SATURDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES FINALLY DROPPING OUT OF THE NEAR- RECORD HIGHS AND
WILL NOW BE CLOSE TO OR BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL. SATURDAY
WINDS WILL BE GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10
TO 15 MPH. BEHIND THE FRONT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVERHEAD,
LEADING TO CLEAR SKIES BY SUNDAY AND CALM CONDITIONS TO START NEXT
WEEK.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
THE FORECAST FOR NEXT WEEK REMAINS BENIGN WITH LIGHT WINDS AND
COOLER CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL NORM OF THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AT THE
END OF THE WEEK, LEADING TO ANOTHER DROP IN TEMPERATURES. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE OUR WEATHER PATTERN, LEADING TO CLEAR SKIES
AND LOW RAIN CHANCES (<20%).
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN MVFR TO IFR UNTIL THE FRONT MOVES ACROSS
THE REGION LATER IN THE NIGHT. AS THE FRONT APPROACHES TERMINALS
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE FURTHER WITH LIFR POSSIBLE AT TIME.
BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AND WILL STEADILY
IMPROVE TO VFR AFTER SUNRISE.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE, CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY
DETERIORATE AS STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVE ACROSS THE WATERS FROM
WEST TO EAST. NEAR THE THUNDERSTORMS, WINDS WILL BE GUSTY WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER WAVES. BY SATURDAY MORNING, STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL LEAD TO A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS, WITH
THE LAKES AND BAYS BEING INCLUDED BY THE AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
STRONG NORTH WINDS DEVELOP INTO SATURDAY AS A MUCH COOLER AND DRIER
AIRMASS MOVES BACK INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. FIRE WEATHER WILL
POSSIBLY BE A CONCERN SUNDAY AS WINDS CONTINUE SUSTAINED AT AROUND
15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND DAYTIME MINIMUM RH VALUES 25 TO
30 PERCENT.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND AIRMASS START TO MOISTEN AGAIN ON MONDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 66 37 57 32 / 40 0 0 0
LCH 68 41 59 37 / 40 0 0 0
LFT 70 42 58 35 / 70 0 0 0
BPT 67 42 62 39 / 20 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO NOON CST SUNDAY FOR
GMZ430-432-435-436.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR GMZ450-452-470-472.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON CST SUNDAY
FOR GMZ455-475.
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...14
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