919
FXUS64 KLCH 102325
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
525 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER SOUTH THROUGH TONIGHT
AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THRU NEXT WEEK. BREEZY AND DRY
CONDITIONS WILL INCREASE WILD FIRE CONCERNS SUNDAY.
- WINDS WILL START TO EASE THROUGHOUT MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY
BECOMING ONSHORE WITH CHANCES OF FOG RETURNING BRIEFLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.
- A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT
REINFORCING COOL / DRY AIR ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE COLORADO ROCKIES WILL BUILD TOWARD THE GULF
COAST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY LEADING TO BREEZY CONDITIONS. NORTH WINDS
WILL ADVECT A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS OVERHEAD. MODERATE TO STRONG
WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH INITIALLY CALL FOR A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
THROUGH 12PM SUNDAY FOR THE LAKE, BAY, AND OFFSHORE MARINE ZONES.
THE NORTHERLY REGIME WILL ALLOW MORE SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE MID
50'S TO LOW 60'S TO BE OBSERVED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MEANWHILE,
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO TREND NEAR NORMAL THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT
WHERE WINDS WILL START TO BECOME CALM AND VARIABLE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS, BUT DRY CONDITIONS WILL BE OBSERVED ONCE
AGAIN TUESDAY WHILE A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSES BY TO THE NORTH.
VERY SLIM CHANCES OF SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWER ACROSS CENLA ARE IN
THE FORECAST DURING THE EVENING HOURS, BUT THESE A VERY MARGINAL
CHANCES FOR TRACE AMOUNTS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BUT
CONTINUE TO BROADEN HEDGING HIGH TEMPERATURES FURTHER INTO THE 60S
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF DRY COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HEREAFTER,
COOL AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
WORTH NOTING, DESPITE SOME PREVIOUS DEPICTIONS IN LONG RANGE
DETERMINISTIC GUIDANCE, THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT COLD AIR
OUTBREAKS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS. THE CPC 6-10
DAY OUT LOOK KEEPS THE FORECAST FAVORING SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES, WHILE THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK TRENDS TEMPERATURES NEAR
NORMAL FOR SOUTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST LA.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF THIS MORNING'S FRONTAL PASSAGE. THESE MAY
BRIEFLY MOVE THROUGH THE COASTAL TERMINALS BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO
CAUSE ANY MATERIAL IMPACTS. BKN HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE GRADUALLY PUSHING OFF TO THE
EAST AFTER 06Z SUNDAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE DEPARTING
FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL
MAINTAIN BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH
GUSTS OF 20-25 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE WINDS WILL LEAD TO A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS
FOR THE OFFSHORE WATERS ALONG WITH THE LAKES AND BAYS. NORTH WINDS
WILL REMAIN MODERATE THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING BEFORE GUSTS EASE
ACROSS THE WATERS. THIS OFFSHORE REGIME WILL PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 521 PM CST SAT JAN 10 2026
WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH WILL GUST TO 20KTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS. GUSTS WILL EASE THROUGHOUT SUNDAY BUT REMAIN FIRM OUT OF THE
NORTH. FIRE WEATHER WILL POSSIBLY BE A CONCERN SUNDAY AS WINDS
CONTINUE SUSTAINED AT AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS AND
DAYTIME MINIMUM RH VALUES 30 - 40 PERCENT. WINDS WILL DIMINISH
MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT MINIMUM RH WILL CONTINUE TO RANGE 30-40%
THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE SOME MODERATION OF MOISTURE OCCURS WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 36 57 31 55 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 40 59 36 56 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 42 59 35 56 / 10 0 0 0
BPT 40 62 38 58 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ430-432-435-
436-450-452-455-470-472-475.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....30
AVIATION...66
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