416
FXUS64 KLCH 140612
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1212 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
..NEW LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DUE TO HIGHER WINDS,
LOWER RH AND ELEVATED ERC VALUES.
- A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON KEEPING
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK.
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TODAY INTO THURSDAY
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING. THIS
RIDGE HAS LEFT THE REGION WITH COOL CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS.
ALOFT A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE HAS CREATED PATCHY LIGHT RAIN,
HOWEVER THIS WILL BE EXITING PRIOR TO SUNRISE.
A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS WHICH IS
DRIVING THE NEXT COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS FRONT
WILL ARRIVE LATER TODAY. NO PRECIP IS FORECAST, BUT TEMPERATURES
WILL DROP OFF A FEW DEGREES INTO THURSDAY.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
A VERY BRIEF WARM UP IS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY AFTERNOON, BUT YET
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY
EVENING. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
I-10 CORRIDOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A CANADIAN AIRMASS MOVES OVER
THE REGION. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BE DRIVEN SOUTH AS
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE LARGER UPPER TROUGH.
MODEST RAIN CHANCES MAY ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT AS THE ASSOCIATED
SHORT WAVE INTERACTS WITH PACIFIC AND GULF MOISTURE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
PATCHY SPRINKLES AND LIGHT RAIN WILL EXIT THE REGION THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING. MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE,
HOWEVER A BRIEF LOWER VIS MAY OCCUR IN -RA. LIGHT AND VRB WINDS
ARE ANTICIPATED INTO EARLY THU, HOWEVER NW WINDS WILL INCREASE BY
AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS CALM WITH WINDS BELOW 10 KNOTS AND SEAS BELOW 3 FEET
EARLY THIS MORNING. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE DAY, WINDS WILL BECOME OFFSHORE AND WILL RAPIDLY
INCREASE, AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT STARTING
DURING THE MORNING FOR THE COASTAL WATERS, THEN THE LAKES AND
BAYS BY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL PEAK NEAR 25-30 KNOTS TONIGHT, AND A
LOW WATER ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED DURING LOW TIDE. WAVES WILL
BUILD IN RESPONSE TO THE WINDS, BUILDING TO 7 FEET. WINDS WILL
BEGIN TO WEAKEN FRIDAY EVENING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026
A DRY COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WILL CREATE A
MARGINAL CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS, AND A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR WEDNESDAY. THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL
HAVE ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 20
TO 40 PERCENT RANGE STARTING ON THURSDAY AND STAYING THAT LOW
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SECOND DRY COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY WILL BRING
ANOTHER SURGE OF NORTH WINDS, AND A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE
NEEDED.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 63 31 52 34 / 10 0 0 0
LCH 67 37 55 41 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 66 35 52 36 / 10 0 0 0
BPT 68 37 57 41 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR
GMZ430-432-435-436.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY
FOR GMZ450-452-455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO NOON CST THURSDAY
FOR GMZ470-472-475.
SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...05
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