480  
FXUS64 KLCH 141118  
AFDLCH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA  
518 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
   
..NEW AVIATION  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- SOMEWHAT ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS DUE TO HIGHER WINDS,  
LOWER RH AND ELEVATED ERC VALUES.  
 
- A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON KEEPING  
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS THROUGH THE END OF  
THE WEEK.  
 
- SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR TODAY INTO THURSDAY  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM  
 
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026  
 
HIGH PRESSURE IS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS MORNING. THIS  
RIDGE HAS LEFT THE REGION WITH COOL CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS.  
ALOFT A WEAKENING DISTURBANCE HAS CREATED PATCHY LIGHT RAIN,  
HOWEVER THIS WILL BE EXITING PRIOR TO SUNRISE.  
 
A LONG WAVE TROUGH IS OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS WHICH IS  
DRIVING THE NEXT COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS. THIS FRONT  
WILL ARRIVE LATER TODAY. NO PRECIP IS FORECAST, BUT TEMPERATURES  
WILL DROP OFF A FEW DEGREES INTO THURSDAY.  
 
 
   
LONG TERM  
 
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)  
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
A VERY BRIEF WARM UP IS ANTICIPATED FRIDAY AFTERNOON, BUT YET  
ANOTHER DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY  
EVENING. A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THE  
I-10 CORRIDOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A CANADIAN AIRMASS MOVES OVER  
THE REGION. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BE DRIVEN SOUTH AS  
ANOTHER SHORT WAVE ROUNDS THE BASE OF THE LARGER UPPER TROUGH.  
MODEST RAIN CHANCES MAY ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT AS THE ASSOCIATED  
SHORT WAVE INTERACTS WITH PACIFIC AND GULF MOISTURE.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 516 AM CST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
LIGHT WINDS ALONG WITH BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES NEAR 5000FT WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS UNTIL THE PASSAGE OF A COLD  
FRONT AROUND MIDDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT, WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE  
NW/NNW AND BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN WITH FREQUENT GUSTS AROUND 20-25  
KTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL  
REMAIN ELEVATE INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, GRADUALLY RELAXING POST-  
MIDNIGHT THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW. CIGS WILL LIFT BEHIND THE FRONT  
AND GRADUALLY SCATTER OUT THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF THE FORECAST  
PERIOD.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
AEX 63 31 52 34 / 10 0 0 0  
LCH 67 37 55 41 / 0 0 0 0  
LFT 66 35 52 36 / 10 0 0 0  
BPT 68 37 57 41 / 0 0 0 0  
 
 
   
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
LA...NONE.  
TX...NONE.  
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR  
GMZ430-432-435-436.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ450-452-455.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ470-472-475.  
 
 
 
 
 
SHORT TERM...05  
LONG TERM....05  
AVIATION...17  
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