142
FXUS64 KLCH 301822
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1222 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION TODAY WITH
MORE ARCTIC AIR SURGING IN KEEPING TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW
NORMAL ALONG WITH HARD FREEZE CONDITIONS AND DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS OVER THE WEEKEND.
- AFTER A CHILLY WEEKEND THE AIRMASS OVERHEAD MODERATES QUICKLY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES REESTABLISHED
AND MOISTURE INCREASES.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TUESDAY THRU THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD
FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS COMBINED WITH THE CURRENTLY RUNNING 18Z
RAOB INDICATE ONE BIG STORY TODAY: A DEPARTING COLD FRONT HAS
BROUGHT IN QUITE THE BLOW OF COLDER AND DRIER AIR. HIGHS TODAY
WILL ONLY TOP OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S WITH LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S TO MID 20S ANTICIPATED TONIGHT.
UPSTREAM IS THE GREAT PARENT UPPER SHORTWAVE WHICH IS SET TO DROP
DOWN THROUGH THE REGION STARTING LATE TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL USHER SOUTHWARD A MUCH COLDER ARCTIC AIRMASS ON
STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS INTO SATURDAY AM. AS A RESULT, THE WIND
CHILL WILL BRING ABOUT REAL-FEEL TEMPS IN THE 11 TO 20F RANGE BY
SUNRISE SATURDAY. AS A RESULT, THE COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS
TIME RANGE WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT.
STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BRING ABOUT A WIND ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF
THE AREA (PRIMARILY LOWER ACADIANA) DURING DAYTIME HOURS
TOMORROW/SATURDAY. AWAY FROM THE ADVISORY, BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO HIT THE MID 30S INLAND AND NEAR 40
AT THE COASTLINE.
WITH THIS SECOND COLD AIRMASS MOVING IN, A FEW VERY ISOLATED
FLURRIES WILL BE POSSIBLE, BUT NOT EXPECTED. AND ONLY FOR VERY
INLAND AREAS.
WINDS FALL OFF SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
IN. CLEAR SKIES AND CALM CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN RAPID
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND THUS, VERY COLD TEMPERATURES. THE COLDEST
ACTUAL TEMPS WILL BE SEEN SUNDAY AM WITH CENLA SEEING UPPER TEENS;
AROUND 20 TO 22 AT THE COASTLINE. THIS WOULD COUNT AS A HARD
FREEZE AND A WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED LATER TODAY FOR THIS TIME
FRAME.
11/CALHOUN
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST OF THE REGION MONDAY INTO TUESDAY,
BRINGING ABOUT A QUICK RETURN FLOW AND WARMER, MORE HUMID
CONDITIONS. LATE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, AN AMPLIFYING SFC TROF
DEVELOPS OVER THE ARKLATEX AND A PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THAT TIME FRAME. AS OF NOW, NO
SEVERE RISK IS ANTICIPATED DUE TO A LACK OF INSTABILITY.
THE TROF AXIS FINALLY MOVES EAST OF THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH
NORTHWEST FLOW EXPECTED TO BRING IN A PACIFICALLY COOLED AIRMASS
TO END THE WORK WEEK.
11/CALHOUN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
BREEZY NORTH WINDS ARE PREVAILING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT
PASSAGE THIS MORNING. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AREA WIDE AND
OVER THE PERIOD, HOWEVER, A PERIOD OF ANAFRONTAL UPPER MVFR
CLOUDS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT AEX LATE TONIGHT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF
ANOTHER COLDER AIRMASS OVERNIGHT.
STRONGER NORTH WINDS WILL PICK UP AFTER SUNRISE SATURDAY WITH THE
NEW AIRMASS MOVING IN. WINDS SUSTAINED 17 TO 20 AND GUSTS UP TO 30
KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
11/CALHOUN
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
OFFSHORE WINDS ARE ELEVATED TODAY IN THE WAKE OF A PASSING COLD
FRONT. A MORE POTENT UPPER SHORTWAVE MOVES OVERHEAD LATE TONIGHT,
EARLY SATURDAY WITH A MUCH COLDER REINFORCING ARCTIC AIRMASS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH ON SATURDAY. THIS ENHANCEMENT OF WINDS
WILL BRING ABOUT AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF ELEVATED OFFSHORE WINDS AND
HAZARDOUS SEAS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL ALSO
CONTINUE TO EXACERBATE LOW WATER CONDITIONS SATURDAY MORNING.
CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE ON SUNDAY AFTER SUNRISE AND AS
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE AREA. ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES LATE
SUNDAY AHEAD OF A PERIOD OF DISTURBED WEATHER BRINING SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
11/CALHOUN
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2026
STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW WITH COLDER, DRIER AIR WILL PREVAIL TODAY IN
THE WAKE OF PASSING COLD FRONT FROM THIS MORNING. LATE TONIGHT, A
REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY, BROUGHT ON BY MUCH STRONGER NORTHERLY WINDS. PORTIONS OF
LOWER ACADIANA WILL BE UNDER A WIND ADVISORY FOR STRONG NORTH
WINDS DURING DAYTIME HOURS SATURDAY.
RH MINIMUMS WILL DROP INTO THE 20S AND 30S EACH DAY SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. HOWEVER, HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY, SO
WINDS WILL NOT BE AS STRONG.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 23 35 17 46 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 31 40 22 48 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 28 36 21 46 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 31 42 22 50 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
LAZ027>033-044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-
252>254.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 AM TO 4 PM CST SATURDAY FOR LAZ033-044-045-
055-074-152>154-252>254.
TX...COLD WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 2 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM CST SUNDAY FOR
TXZ180-201-259>262-515-516-615-616.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ430-432.
LOW WATER ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 1 PM CST SATURDAY FOR GMZ430-432-
435-436.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
GMZ435-436-450-452-455.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SUNDAY FOR GMZ470-472-475.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11
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