114
FXUS64 KLCH 021736
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1136 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 60S TODAY AHEAD OF
ANOTHER APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM ON TUESDAY.
- RAIN CHANCES INCREASE MID MORNING TUESDAY THRU WEDNESDAY LATE
MORNING WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT PASSING BY THURSDAY AM. NO HARD
FREEZE OR WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED.
- THURSDAY WILL BE COOLER, AROUND NORMAL TEMPS, BUT FRIDAY AND
INTO THE WEEKEND, TEMPS IN THE 60S WILL RETURN ONCE AGAIN.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
VERY LITTLE HAS CHANGED IN THE SHORT TERM FORECAST. SURFACE TROF AND
ASSOCIATED PACIFIC FRONT ARE STILL ON TRACK TO BEGIN MOVING TOWARDS
THE REGION. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOWER 60S, AND
WITH DEWPOINTS STILL HANGING BACK IN THE 40S, IT WILL BE A BEAUTIFUL
DAY OUTSIDE!
OVERNIGHT, LOW TO MID LEVEL FLOW WILL INCREASE, BRINGING IN THICKER
CLOUD COVER AND INCREASED MOISTURE AHEAD OF APPROACHING SYSTEM. AS
THE FRONT NEARS INTO TUESDAY, BROAD SCALE LIFT WILL INCREASE,
ALLOWING SOME SHOWERS TO BEGIN DEVELOPING FOR PRIMARILY THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA BY MID TO LATE MORNING. POPS INCREASE
THEREAFTER. THE FRONT SAGS INTO THE REGION AFTER SUNDOWN AND SHOULD
BE GONE FROM THE AREA BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS
MAY OCCUR INTO WEDNESDAY MID MORNING. NOT ANTICIPATING ANY FLOODING
OR SEVERE RISK WITH THIS FROPA. MOST REGIONS SHOULD GET A "WETTING
RAIN," OR RAIN TOTALS OF AT LEAST 0.25" OVER TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.
COOLER CONDITIONS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY.
11/CALHOUN
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED THURSDAY BEFORE RIDGING TAKES
OVER ON FRIDAY. AIRMASS WILL MODERATE INTO THE WEEKEND BRINGING
ABOUT WARM, SPRINGTIME CONDITIONS.
11/CALHOUN
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
WEATHER FOR TODAYS DAYTIME HOURS. WINDS WILL HAVE A PROGRESSIVE
TURN TO THE SOUTH TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AFTER SUNDOWN ALLOWING
MOISTURE TO MOVE IN OVERNIGHT. CLOUDS WILL DESCEND AS MOISTURE
RETURNS TONIGHT. MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP INTO DAYTIME HOURS TUESDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
ONSHORE WINDS AND SEAS WILL INCREASE INTO TUESDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL SYSTEM. LARGELY, CONDITIONS SHOULDN'T BE
HAZARDOUS TUESDAY AND MOST OF WEDNESDAY, BUT SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION. SHOWERS AND A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THRU MID DAY WEDNESDAY. OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND THE FRONT AND WILL INCREASE
INTO THURSDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR THE
LATE WORK WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS INTO THE WEEKEND, IMPROVING
CONDITIONS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1130 AM CST MON FEB 2 2026
MOISTURE AND TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE TODAY AND TUESDAY AHEAD OF
AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. PATCHY FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY.
SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION STARTING LATE MORNING WITH AN
INCREASE THEREAFTER AS THE FRONT SAGS DOWN INTO THE REGION. THE
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
WIDESPREAD SHOWERY RAINFALL EXPECTED. A FEW HEAVIER DOWNPOURS COULD
BE EMBEDDED IN THE MIX. COOLER, DRIER AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE
REGION THEREAFTER.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 64 47 67 40 / 0 0 70 70
LCH 63 51 67 47 / 0 0 50 80
LFT 63 47 68 46 / 0 0 30 90
BPT 65 52 68 47 / 0 0 60 70
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...LOW WATER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR GMZ430-432.
SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...11
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