856
FXUS64 KLCH 040603
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1203 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING
ACCOMPANIED BY SCATTERED SHOWERS.
- A LIGHT FREEZE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA
THURSDAY MORNING ALONG WITH AREAS OF FROST.
- NO PRECIPITATION AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FRIDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
A BROKEN SHIELD OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN CONTINUES TO
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING
COLD FRONT PRESENTLY BISECTING THE REGION. PRECIPITATION WILL COME
TO AN END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH EARLY THIS MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THE
FROPA. SKIES WILL CLEAR BY MID MORNING, BUT BREEZY CAA WILL LIMIT
DAYTIME HEATING KEEPING AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST TEXAS WILL DIMINISH
WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES
TO FALL INTO THE 30S AREAWIDE. TEMPERATURES MAY REACH FREEZING
BRIEFLY BEFORE SUNRISE ACROSS PARTS OF CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND
ACADIANA. REGARDLESS, THE SETUP FAVORS FROST DEVELOPMENT THURSDAY
MORNING AND PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT ANY RECENTLY
UNCOVERED OR UNSHELTERED SENSITIVE VEGETATION.
THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE FORECAST AS THE
AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE SLIDING DOWN INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF TURNING WINDS SOUTHWESTERLY BY THURSDAY EVENING
ADVECTING RELATIVELY WARM GULF AIR BACK INTO THE AREA WHICH WILL
KEEP LOWS FRIDAY MORNING IN THE LOW TO MID 40S.
JONES
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
A DRY AND VERY MILD PATTERN BECOMES ESTABLISHED FRIDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL
GULF MAINTAINS LIGHT SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS THAT WILL KEEP AFTERNOON
HIGHS AROUND 70 EACH DAY WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID
50S. WHILE WINTER LIKELY ISN'T QUITE OVER YET, IT WILL BE A NICE
LONG BREAK FOR THOSE WHO ARE TIRED OF THE FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND
THE HAZARDS THAT GO ALONG WITH THEM.
JONES
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
A COLD FRONT ADVANCING THROUGH AEX AT THIS HOUR IS
PRODUCING A BROKEN SHIELD OF RAIN ALONG AND AHEAD OF IT.
OBSERVATIONS IN THE VICINITY OF THE BOUNDARY LEND SUPPORT TO
INTERMITTENT MVFR AND IFR CEILINGS AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH EACH OF THE TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. PRECIPITATION WILL END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING BY MID MORNING. CEILINGS WILL
IMPROVE TO VFR FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WITH SKIES LARGELY
CLEARING BY LATE MORNING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY AROUND 00Z AND
REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP BEHIND A COLD FRONT
MOVING THROUGH THE GULF EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL CLIMB TO 2-4
FEET ACROSS THE NEARSHORE WATERS AND FROM 4-6 FEET OVER THE OUTER
WATERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR OFFSHORE WATERS OUT
60 NM FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL ABATE THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY BEFORE TURNING ONSHORE FRIDAY
WHERE THEY WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1202 AM CST WED FEB 4 2026
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING COLD FRONT WILL
COME TO AN END FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING WITH
BREEZY NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPING AFTER SUNRISE. WINDS WILL ABATE
AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING AND WILL REMAIN LIGHT THURSDAY. MINIMUM RH
VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 30-45% RANGE EACH AFTERNOON
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 56 31 55 39 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 59 36 58 44 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 57 32 55 40 / 10 0 0 0
BPT 61 37 61 42 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 AM CST THURSDAY
FOR GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...66
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