068
FXUS64 KLCH 200529
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1229 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND TO CONTINUE FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
- HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90 ACROSS
INTERIOR SETX AND CENLA THIS WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE, WITH LITTLE TO NO RAIN EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS ONCE AGAIN DRAPED ALONG THE EASTERN
SEABOARD TO THE NE GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON, PROVIDING LIGHT
SOUTHWEST WINDS AND SUNNY SKIES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ALOFT, A
DEEPENING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE IS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS, WHILE A
WEAKENING TROUGH IS OVER THE EASTERN CONUS, WITH THE FORECAST AREA
SITUATED BETWEEN THE TWO. THIS HAS RESULTED IN ANOTHER DRY AND WARM
AFTERNOON, WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 70S TO
NEAR 80 DEGREES OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
TOMORROW, THE SYNOPTIC SET UP WILL REMAIN FAIRLY UNCHANGED AS UPPER
RIDGING CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN CONUS AND SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE LINGERS ACROSS THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THIS WILL RESULT
IN ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY, WITH TEMPERATURES JUST A TAD WARMER
THAN TODAY, TOPPING OUT IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S.
MOVING INTO THE WEEKEND, THE WEST CONUS UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO SHIFT
EAST AND FLATTEN OUT ACROSS THE CONUS, ALLOWING THE ONGOING WARMING
TREND TO AMPLIFY A BIT. HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE UPPER 80S ACROSS
INTERIOR PARTS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON SAT AFTERNOON, WITH LOW TO
MID 80S ELSEWHERE. OVERNIGHT, LOWS ONLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S, AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
BROAD UPPER RIDGING DOMINATES THE MAJORITY OF THE CONUS THROUGHOUT
THE LONG TERM PERIOD, RESULTING IN A REPETITIVE AND OVERALL QUIET
FORECAST CONSISTING OF WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS. ONLY REAL CONCERN
WILL BE THE HEAT, AS HIGHS CONTINUE TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 80S EACH
DAY ACROSS INTERIOR SE TX/CENLA. WHILE RECORD HIGHS WILL LIKELY NOT
BE REACHED, UNSEASONABLE WARMTH IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE LONG TERM
PERIOD. IN ADDITION, SEVERAL DRY DAYS AHEAD WILL LIKELY CAUSE
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS TO WORSEN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1226 AM CDT FRI MAR 20 2026
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ONGOING WITH EXCEPTION TO A FEW TERMINALS
EXPERIENCING LIFR VIS AS A RESULT OF FOG. CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO
WORSEN FOR SEVERAL OTHER SITES THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD.
WHATEVER FOG FORMS WILL BE QUICK TO BURNOFF SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE.
OTHERWISE, LIGHT SW TO S WINDS AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO PREVAIL.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
LIGHT MAINLY S TO SW WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
LINGERS TO OUR EAST. RIDGING BUILDING IN ALOFT WILL KEEP DRY
CONDITIONS IN PLACE, WITH NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED THROUGH THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 205 PM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE MODERATE TODAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
LIGHT S TO SW FLOW PREVAILS. MINRH VALUES WILL GENERALLY RANGE
FROM THE LOW TO MID 40S FOR INLAND LOCATIONS, AND FROM THE UPPER
40S TO UPPER 50S FOR AREAS ALONG/SOUTH OF I-10. WHILE MOISTURE
SLOWLY RETURNS THROUGH THE PERIOD, NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED FOR THE
FORESEEABLE FUTURE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 82 57 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 77 61 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 79 59 81 62 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 79 60 82 62 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...87
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