356
FXUS64 KLCH 250708
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
208 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
-CONSISTENT SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN A WARM, TROPICAL AIRMASS OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE WEEK WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS APPROACHING RECORDS IN
SOME SPOTS.
-A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY
EVENING BRINGING TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS SATURDAY.
- A QUICK WARMUP IS EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK
INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
DISCUSSION...A WARM, TROPICAL AIRMASS AT THE SURFACE AND THE EASTERN
SIDE OF A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT WILL MAINTAIN A PERSISTENT WEATHER
PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE BIGGEST HAZARD
WILL BE FOG DEVELOPMENT EACH MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY. SHORT RANGE
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAS BEEN SHOWING A STRONG SIGNAL FOR FOG
DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING AND OBS ARE BEGINNING TO REPORT SOME
VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS AT THIS HOUR. A DENSE FOG ADVISORY HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MUCH OF THE REGION THROUGH 9 AM WITH THE EXCEPTIONS OF
TYLER, HARDIN, JASPER AND NEWTON COUNTIES WHERE CONFIDENCE ON DENSE
FOG DEVELOPMENT IS NOT AS HIGH.
A TROF DIGGING SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL PUSH A DRY
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY
WITH A COOL, CONTINENTAL AIRMASS ADVECTING INTO THE REGION IN IT'S
WAKE. THIS WILL DROP TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMALS
SATURDAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS INT HE MID TO UPPER 70S AND LOWS
DROPPING INTO THE LOW TO MID 50S. THE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SHORT LIVED, HOWEVER, AS HIGH PRESSURE BEHIND THE FRONT QUICKLY
SWINGS EAST OFF THE EAST COAST TURNING WINDS BACK OUT OF THE SOUTH
AND PUSHING THE WARM, TROPICAL AIRMASS BACK INLAND SUNDAY BEGINNING
ANOTHER EXTENDED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
AREAS OF SHALLOW, BUT DENSE GROUND FOG WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. LCH AND BPT ARE ALREADY REPORTING
QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY. VISIBILITIES WILL BEGIN IMPROVING BETWEEN
13-14Z AND SHOULD BE UNLIMITED BY 15Z WITH VFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL THEREAFTER THROUGH THE DAY ALONG WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS. ANOTHER ROUND OF GROUND FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN LATE
TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
LIGHT ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW SEAS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
FRIDAY. A DRY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING TURNING WINDS OFFSHORE AND
INCREASING TO 20-25 KNOTS. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN BY SATURDAY NIGHT
BEFORE TURNING BACK ONSHORE SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 205 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2026
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AREAS OF GROUND FOG DEVELOPING
EACH MORNING BEFORE DIMINISHING BY AROUND 9 AM. A DRY COLD FRONT
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY EVENING INTO EARLY SATURDAY WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF COOLER, DRIER AIR FILTERING INTO THE REGION ON
BREEZY NORTH WINDS SATURDAY. THIS DRIER AIR WILL DROP AFTERNOON
MINIMUM RH VALUES INTO THE 25-35% RANGE WHICH, COMBINED WITH THE
ONGOING DROUGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION, COULD SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT AND/OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES. WINDS WILL TURN BACK OUT OF
THE SOUTH SUNDAY WITH HUMIDITY INCREASING ONCE AGAIN IN RESPONSE. A
WARM, HUMID PATTERN BECOMES REESTABLISHED THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
AEX 85 57 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
LCH 81 61 80 63 / 0 0 0 0
LFT 83 61 82 63 / 0 0 0 0
BPT 82 61 81 63 / 0 0 0 0
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR LAZ027>033-
044-045-055-073-074-141>143-152>154-241>243-252>254.
TX...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ515-516-
615-616.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....66
AVIATION...66
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