995
FXUS64 KLCH 092340
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
640 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNSET TODAY.
- SCATTERED (20-60%) PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AS A SLUG OF
MOISTURE AND WEAK UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVE ACROSS THE REGION.
-TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ALONG WITH
INCREASING HUMIDITY ON BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
HIGH PRESSURE IS CENTERED OVER THE GULF OF MAINE AND RIDGES
SOUTHWEST INTO THE DEEP SOUTH. LOW PRESSURE IS OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. BETWEEN THESE SYSTEMS, MOISTURE IS BEING DRAWN NORTHWEST
FROM THE GULF ACROSS SOUTH LA AND TX BY A SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS HAS
ALLOWED DEWPOINTS TO CREEP BACK INTO THE 60S FROM THE 40S AND 50S
OF YESTERDAY.
DURING DIURNAL HEATING THIS AFTERNOON, A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE WITH SLIGHTLY MORE COVERAGE ANTICIPATED
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK UPPER DISTURBANCE PASSES ACROSS THE
REGION.
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ONCE AGAIN THIS WEEKEND AS AN UPPER RIDGE
BUILDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
ADVECT INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL TX, HOWEVER. WITH THE LOCAL REGION
BETWEEN THE STRONGER UPPER RIDGE TO THE EAST AND AN UPPER TROUGH
TO THE WEST WITH MOISTURE ADVECTING ACROSS TX, A FEW SHOWERS OR
STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE, BUT MOSTLY OVER SE TX. POINTS TO THE EAST
WILL BE MORE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE RIDGE, AND THEREFORE CHANCES
WILL BE LESSER.
BY MID WEEK THE UPPER RIDGE MAY BEGIN TO ERODE FROM THE WEST WITH
RAIN CHANCES POTENTIALLY INCREASING MODESTLY. SPC HAS ALREADY
HIGHLIGHTED INTERIOR SE TX AND CEN LA FOR A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
WEATHER ON DAY 7 AS THIS OCCURS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 635 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
VFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT WITH BKN TO OVC HIGH
CLOUDS BUILDING INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST IN RESPONSE TO A
SLUG OF MOISTURE ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING UP THE TEXAS GULF COAST. SOME MODELS ARE
INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME LIGHT GROUND FOG DEVELOPMENT
BETWEEN 09 AND 13Z FRIDAY MORNING, BUT THE COMBINATION OF
INCREASING CLOUD COVER AND WINDS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT OR
ABOVE 5 KNOTS MOST OF THE NIGHT IS REDUCING CONFIDENCE IN ANY
DEVELOPMENT SO OPTED TO LEAVE OUT OF THE FORECAST AT PRESENT.
SHOULD FOG DEVELOP, IT WILL DISSIPATE BY 14Z. SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE COAST IN
RESPONSE TO THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER LOW AFTER 16Z. THESE STORMS
ARE MOST LIKELY TO IMPACT THE THE COASTAL TERMINALS WITH VERY
LITTLE, IF ANY, MAKING IT AS FAR NORTH AS AEX. STORMS WILL BEGIN
DISSIPATING AFTER 22Z.
JONES
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
A FAIRLY TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP WINDS AND SEAS ELEVATED
INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO
FALL BELOW SCA CRITERIA FRIDAY MORNING, SMALL CRAFT SHOULD
CONTINUE TO USE CAUTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS WINDS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN AT AROUND OR SLIGHTLY OVER 15KTS IN THE GULF WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1237 PM CDT THU APR 9 2026
ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL KEEP FUELS DRY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, HOWEVER AFTERNOON MIN HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE GENERALLY
IN THE 40S AND 50S. THERE IS A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS FRIDAY WITH EVEN LOWER CHANCES THIS WEEKEND.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR GMZ450-470.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR GMZ452-455-472-
475.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...05
AVIATION...66
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