351
FXUS64 KLCH 121818
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
118 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NW OF THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING A
FOCUS FOR A SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS SETX AND
POSSIBLY GETTING INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA OVERNIGHT.
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK (1 OUT OF 5) OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND SLIGHT RISK (2 OUT OF 4) FOR THE RISK
OF FLASH FLOODING ACROSS HARDIN AND TYLER COUNTIES.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR A MAJORITY
OF THE AREA, WITH SOME LOW 90S POSSIBLE.
-NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COMES IN NEXT
WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
WHILE LOOKING AT THE FORECAST FOR THE AVIATION FORECAST DID
REQUIRE AN UPDATE AS IT APPEARS THE MAIN CONVECTIVE COMPLEX WILL
WEAKEN FASTER THAN INDICATED EARLIER. THIS DID MUTE THE CHANCES A
BIT MAINLY FOR LOUISIANA. STILL LOOKS LIKE PORTIONS OF TYLER,
HARDIN AND JASPER COULD SEE SOME BENEFICIAL RAINS OUT OF IT.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
THIS AFTERNOON IT IS BREEZY BUT MUGGY ACROSS THE REGION AND SOME
SPOTTY FAST MOVING SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING AND MOVING TO THE NORTH
IN THE DEEPER MOISTURE.
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS A SOMEWHAT TRICKY FORECAST WITH THE FRONT
LOCATED NORTHWEST OF THE REGION. A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER CENTRAL TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON AND TRY TO MOVE TO THE EAST WHILE WEAKENING. SPC DOES
HAVE A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PORTIONS OF
SETX FOR POSSIBLE WINDS OF 60 MPH. WPC DOES HAVE A SLIGHT RISK OF
OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF TYLER AND HARDIN COUNTIES
WITH MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF SETX WITH A MARGINAL RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.
SOME ACTIVITY COULD LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS SETX AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF LA.
AS UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, HOWEVER STILL CAN NOT RULE OUT SOME
ISOLATED ACTIVITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE SE US THROUGH THE WORK WEEK KEEP LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE STREAMING IN FROM THE GULF. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BE
WARM THIS UPCOMING WEEK.
THE NEXT UPPER TROF AND COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIDE INTO THE
REGION NEXT SATURDAY AND WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS A COLD FRONT STALLS TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA. A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAKE A RUN
TOWARDS THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT, BUT AT THIS
TIME CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST OF IF THIS
WILL ACTUALLY MAKE IT ANY OF THE TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. WILL MAINTAIN EAST TO
BRISK SOUTHEAST WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH SEAS REMAINING CONSISTENTLY BETWEEN 2-3 FEET
OVER THE NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS AND 3-5 FEET OVER THE OUTER
COASTAL WATERS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1254 PM CDT SUN APR 12 2026
WHILE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY AT TIMES RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL INCREASE AS MOISTURE CONTINUES TO BE TRANSPORTED IN FROM
THE GULF. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NORTHWEST OF THE AREA, BUT
COULD SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF EAST TEXAS
AND FAR WESTERN LOUISIANA.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...27
AVIATION...27
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page