151
FXUS64 KLCH 141223
AFDLCH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
723 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S FOR A MAJORITY
OF THE AREA, WITH SOME LOW 90S POSSIBLE.
- NEXT GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COMES IN NEXT
WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS STRONG HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE EAST COAST
THAT IS CAUSING OUR PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW. ALOFT, RIDGING IS
CENTERED OVER GEORGIA AND IS THE MAIN FACTOR FOR WHY WE ARE SO DRY
AND WARM.
OUR PATTERN WILL REMAIN CONSISTENT FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AS
THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS STATIONARY. THE DAY-TO-DAY FORECAST
WILL BE UNCHANGING WITH A PERSISTENCE FORECAST. AFTERNOON
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. PARTS OF CENTRAL
LOUISIANA COULD SEE THEIR FIRST 90-DEGREE DAYS AT THE END OF THE
WEEK. THIS WOULD BE ABOUT A MONTH EARLIER THAN NORMAL, BUT IT IS
NOT A GUARANTEE, WITH PROBABILITIES AROUND 50% OR A COIN FLIP.
EVEN IF WE DONT HIT 90, WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT TEMPERATURES 5 TO
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AS OUR 500 MB HEIGHTS REMAIN ABOVE THE
95TH PERCENTILE. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
NEAR ZERO WITH THE OCCASIONAL AFTERNOON SHOWER.
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, WE WILL FINALLY SEE A CHANGE IN OUR
PATTERN AS A TROUGH IN THE UPPER PLAINS PUSHES A COLD FRONT TO THE
COAST. WITH THE FRONT, WE WILL SEE A DIP IN TEMPERATURES ALONG
WITH THE FIRST DECENT RAIN CHANCES IN A WEEK. IT IS STILL TOO FAR
OUT FOR ANY SPECIFICS, BUT ANY RAIN WILL BE APPRECIATED TO HELP
WITH THE ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 719 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
PILOTS FLYING IN AND OUT OF THE SE TEXAS AND SOUTH LOUISIANA
AIRPORTS CAN EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THERE ARE SOME LOW CEILINGS IN SPOTS ACROSS THE REGION, HOWEVER,
ANY CEILINGS THAT ARE SUB VFR SHOULD LIFT WITHIN THE NEXT 30
MINUTES OR SO.
SOUTH BREEZES WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS
POSSIBLY REACHING 15 TO 20 KNOTS AT TIMES.
CHANCES FAVOR LITTLE TO NO RAIN THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
SAFE TRAVELS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
FLOW WILL REMAIN ONSHORE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD
WITH WINDS BETWEEN 10 TO 15 KNOTS. WAVES WILL BE BELOW 5 FEET. NO
CONVECTION IS EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK BUT A FRONT WILL
IMPACT THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT TUE APR 14 2026
PERSISTENT SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP OUR MINIMUM RH
VALUES ABOVE 50% FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. RAIN CHANCES WILL STAY
NEAR ZERO THIS WEEK WITH KBDI VALUES CONTINUING TO CLIMB ACROSS
THE MOST OF THE CWA BETWEEN 400 AND 500. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE OVER THE WEEKEND WITH A FRONTAL PASSAGE.
LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
PUBLIC/FIRE/MARINE...14
AVIATION...29
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