089
FXUS64 KLUB 171738
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1138 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND GENERALLY MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK AND
INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 200 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
A STRENGTHENING LEE SURFACE TROUGH ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO WILL RESULT IN INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS
ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA TODAY WITH A BREEZY PERIOD FOR SEVERAL
HOURS THIS AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION AND A BIT OF A
DOWNSLOPE COMPONENT WILL ADD WARMTH RELATIVE TO YESTERDAY. A LITTLE
MORE OF A BUMP IN TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY COME FROM COMPRESSIONAL
WARMING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD DOWN THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS MORNING AND INTO THE PANHANDLE THIS
AFTERNOON. NBM AND MOS HANDLE WELL WITH NO CHANGE FROM THE
INITIALIZATION NEEDED. THE COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP QUICKLY SOUTHWARD
THROUGH THE FORECAST THIS EVENING, EXITING THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF
THE FORECAST AREA EARLY MORNING HOURS TONIGHT. SOME GUSTY NORTH
WINDS ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP BEHIND IT FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AGAIN,
NBM AND MOS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH TEMPERATURES AND NO CHANGE
FROM NBM FOR TONIGHT'S LOWS WILL BE MADE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
A COLD FRONT WILL HAVE PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OVERHEAD. NORTHERLY WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE BREEZY WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 TO 30 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO DROP TO SEASONAL NORMALS POST
FRONTAL WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP TO THE
60S AGAIN ON THURSDAY BEFORE ANOTHER SLIGHT COOL DOWN ON FRIDAY AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO PUSH THROUGH THE AREA. QUIET
WEATHER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPS
TO THE WEST OF THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND ANOTHER SYSTEM ON
TUESDAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1135 AM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD. BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET, THEN WILL BRIEFLY
WEAKEN BEFORE TURNING NORTHERLY AND STRENGTHENING BEHIND A COLD
FRONT LATE THIS EVENING. POST-FRONTAL NORTHERLY WINDS WILL THEN
REMAIN BREEZY TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...30
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