560
FXUS64 KLUB 180446
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1046 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT WILL BRING BREEZY AND MUCH COOLER
CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.
- DRY AND MILD WITH A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOWS A QUICK-MOVING UPPER
SHORTWAVE TROUGHING PIVOTING SOUTHEASTWARD OVER SE CO, WITH THIS
FEATURE PROGGED TO REACH THE ARKLATEX REGION BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
AT THE SURFACE, ROBUST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER OUR AREA
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT ENTERING THE OK PANHANDLE AT 19Z. SATELLITE
ALSO SHOWS AN EXPANDING AREA OF LOW/MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVER THE
BIG COUNTRY WHICH MAY CLIP THE SOUTHEASTERN ROLLING PLAINS THROUGH
THIS EVENING AS A MODEST LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SURGE CONTINUES AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. DESPITE THIS, A DRY FRONTAL PASSAGE IS EXPECTED LATER
THIS EVENING WITH THE COLD FRONT PROGGED TO PASS THROUGH THE ENTIRE
AREA BY MIDNIGHT. BREEZY POST-FRONTAL NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING, AND HAVE CONTINUED TO FAVOR
STRONGER MOS WINDS WITH SURFACE PRESSURE RISES ON THE ORDER OF 4-6
MB IN 3 HOURS, BUT WINDS WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS.
HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER THAN TODAY, BUT WILL STILL BE
AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR (LOW TO MID 50S) WITH A LACK OF
ANY PARTICULARLY COLD AIR UPSTREAM. WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO
WEAKEN FAIRLY QUICKLY ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS SURFACE RIDGING
SETTLES OVERHEAD, WITH LARGELY CALM WINDS EXPECTED BY SUNSET.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE THE WEEKEND AND INTO
NEXT WEEK WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES TRAVERSING THE CONUS. DESPITE
A SERIES OF WEAK COLD FRONTS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEKEND AND INTO
THE WEEKEND, TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL AND MILD IN THE
60S. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH A LACK
OF MOISTURE IN THE OVERALL PATTERN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1044 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A COLD FRONT HAS INCREASED
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO DECREASE UNTIL LATE MORNING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....11
AVIATION...01
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