459
FXUS64 KLUB 180801
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
201 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 157 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
EARLY-MORNING UPPER AIR ANALYSIS DEPICTS A BASAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DIGGING INTO THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS AS IT PIVOTS EASTWARD. TO THE
WEST, A MID/UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO AMPLIFY; AND NOW THAT THE
BASE OF THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS NOW PASSING OVER THE CWA, CONFLUENT
FLOW IS ADVECTING OVER THE NORTHERN TX PH. THIS IS EVIDENT AS THE
CIRRUS SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
MOVE SOUTHWARD, WITH SUBSIDENCE QUICKLY ADVECTING IN BEHIND AS PER
RECENT WATER-VAPOR IMAGERY. SATURATION OF THE LOWER-BOUNDARY LAYER
HAS OCCURRED ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN ROLLING
PLAINS, BUT THIS STRATUS DECK WILL QUICKLY MOVE TO THE SOUTH OF THE
CWA AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER SOUTH. NVA/SUBSIDENT AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO ADVECT OVER THE CWA THROUGHOUT THE REMAINDER OF THE
SHORT-TERM PERIOD.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 157 AM CST WED DEC 18 2024
EXPECT QUIET AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT
WEEK. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PREVAIL WITH A COUPLE OF
SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE CONUS. MULTIPLE WEAK COLD FRONTS ARE
PROGGED TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION IN CONJUNCTION WITH THE
SHORTWAVES MOVING OVERHEAD. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL
IN THE 60S FOR THE EXTENDED PERIOD EXCEPT FRIDAY WHERE HIGHS ARE
WILL BE IN THE 50S AFTER THE FIRST FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY. THE
NEXT FRONT IS EXPECTED LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING BUT
WILL HAVE NO EFFECT ON TEMPERATURES OR WIND. NO PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH A LACK OF MOISTURE IN THE
OVERALL PATTERN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1044 PM CST TUE DEC 17 2024
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A COLD FRONT HAS INCREASED
NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION. WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED
TO DECREASE UNTIL LATE MORNING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...01
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page