838
FXUS64 KLUB 292304
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
604 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 603 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
- A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM THURSDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS, THE ROLLING PLAINS, AND THE FAR
SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
- COLD FRONT FRIDAY EVENING WILL BRING SLIGHT COOLER
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN BY NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
WINDS ALREADY INCREASED TO BREEZY THIS MORNING AS STRONG MID TO
UPPER LEVEL WINDS MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WE ARE ALREADY SEEING
WIND GUST OBSERVATIONS UP TO 35 MPH OFF THE CAPROCK. BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER ARE
EXPECTED TO DECREASE BY THIS EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW THAT WAS
RESPONSIBLE FOR SWINGING THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION AND
BREEZY WINDS YESTERDAY TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE FA
BRINGING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. CONCURRENTLY, WIND DIRECTION WILL
SHIFT FROM THE NORTH TO THE WEST AND WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN LIGHT OVERNIGHT. IF YOU DID NOT APPRECIATE THE NEAR FREEZING
TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING, I'M SORRY TO SAY THAT THE WHOLE CWA WILL
EXPERIENCE NEAR OR BELOW FREEZING LOWS AGAIN TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM UNTIL 9 AM
THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS, THE ROLLING PLAINS, AND
THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. WINDS TOMORROW WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN RESPONSE TO SURFACE RIDGING SETTING UP TO THE EAST OF
THE CWA WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO INCREASE UP TO 10 DEGREES
WARMER THAN TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL PASS NEAR THE GREAT LAKES REGION THURSDAY
EFFECTIVELY PUSHING A WEAK COLD FRONT PART WAY INTO THE REGION
BEFORE MODELS INDICATE IT DIES OFF. HOWEVER, WITH HOW WEAK THE FRONT
IS, IT WILL HAVE LITTLE EFFECT ON CONDITIONS BESIDES SHIFTING WINDS
TO THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1225 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
HOPE YOU HAD YOUR FILL OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPERATURES AFTER THURSDAY
MORNING AS MUCH OF THE REGION WON'T EXPERIENCE THOSE FOR A WHILE.
THERE IS NO CHANGE TO THE LONG TERM THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW THAT SET UP OVER THE REGION THURSDAY WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. AN UPPER TROUGH FOLLOWING THE ONE THAT
PUSHED THE WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY WILL SWING
ANOTHER SLIGHTLY STRONGER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA FRIDAY EVENING.
AT THE SAME TIME, UPPER RIDGING WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER SOCAL AND
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. SURFACE WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH
FOLLOWING THE FRONT AND WE WILL SEE A SLIGHT DECREASE IN
TEMPERATURES FOR SATURDAY. THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER TROUGH WILL DIG
SOUTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHEASTERN CONUS WHILE THE UPPER RIDGING BUILDS
SLIGHTLY EAST WITH THE EASTERN EDGE JUST CLIPPING THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL CAUSE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. WE COULD POSSIBLY SEE HIGHS IN
THE 80S BY MID NEXT WEEK. THE RIDGING WILL ALSO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY
WITH POPS NEAR ZERO.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 PM CDT WED OCT 29 2025
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY
FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE TAF PERIOD.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WARNING FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR TXZ024>026-031-
032-035>038-040>044.
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...01
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