384
FXUS64 KLUB 300534
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1234 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1232 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
- A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 9 AM THURSDAY
FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS, THE ROLLING PLAINS, AND THE
FAR SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
- COLD FRONT FRIDAY EVENING WILL BRING SLIGHT COOLER
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND WARMER TEMPERATURES RETURN BY NEXT
WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
CLEAR SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND A LINGERING COLD AIRMASS WILL AGAIN
DRIVE LOW TEMPERATES BELOW FREEZING FOR MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH
9 AM. A RIDGE BUILDING TO THE WEST WILL FINALLY PUSH OUT THE UPPER
LOW RESPONSIBLE IN PART FOR THE COLD TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST FEW
COUPLE DAYS. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS ALOFT WILL BE VERY LIGHT AND SW
SURFACE FLOW WILL RETURN WITH A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE TO OUR EAST. AS
SUCH, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND GENERALLY INTO THE UPPER 60S TO
LOW 70S. WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHEASTERLY INTO THE EVENING AND
QUIET CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL LEAD TO WEAK SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS FRIDAY
IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES. THIS WILL CAUSE THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE
RIDGE TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY EASTWARD AND WINDS WILL BE MORE OUT OF THE
SSE DURING THE DAY. HOWEVER, HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR TO THAT OF TODAY.
AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AND WINDS
WILL TURN NORTHEASTERLY ON SATURDAY IN ITS WAKE. WHILE NOT AS STRONG
AS THE PREVIOUS FRONT, TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BY ABOUT 5 TO 7
DEGREES AND LIKELY NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE 60S. SOME OF THE MODELS
ARE HINTING AT PRECIPITATION SKIRTING THE FAR SOUTHERN ROLLING
PLAINS, HOWEVER AS WITH THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM IT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
EAST AND THUS NO POPS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED IN THE FORECAST. AN UPPER
LOW TO OUR EAST WILL BECOME CLOSED AND MORE COMPACT ON SUNDAY,
HOWEVER A ~588 DM RIDGE WILL PREVENT IT FROM HAVING AN OVERLY
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON OUR AREA. A RETURN OF SURFACE SW WINDS WILL
ALLOW FOR HIGHS TO BOUNCE BACK INTO THE LOW-TO-MID 70S. THE RIDGE
WILL CONTINUE INTO MID-WEEK LEADING TO WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1232 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FREEZE WARNING UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR TXZ024>026-031-
032-035>038-040>044.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...51
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