484
FXUS64 KLUB 301709
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1209 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1206 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
- A COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SLIGHTLY COOLER
TEMPERATURES SATURDAY.
- MUCH WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE REGION.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
DRY NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST ALOFT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM
PERIOD. MEANWHILE, AT THE SURFACE A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
LEE TROUGH AND A RETURN TO SOUTHERLY SURFACE WINDS ON FRIDAY.
OVERALL THIS WILL BE A QUIET PATTERN WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK IN
TEMPERATURES BOTH TONIGHT AND FRIDAY RELATIVE TO THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1206 PM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE
FORECAST AS WELL. THE ONLY ITEM OF ANY INTEREST CONTINUES TO BE A
FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT VORTICITY LOBE ROTATING SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THAT WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD THROUGH
THE FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY AS WELL AS BRING AN
ALTOCUMULUS FIELD AND AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF VERY LIGHT PRECIPITATION.
BY NOON SATURDAY THAT LOBE SHOULD HAVE CLEARED THE AREA WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND WHAT SHOULD BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES
QUICKLY REBOUND SUNDAY WITH A SPELL OF WARM DAYS MONDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AS, INITIALLY, UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES OVER THE AREA AS
THE PERSISTENT BROAD TROUGH OVER EASTERN NORTH AMERICA FINALLY
EJECTS EASTWARD. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A FLATTENING OF THE RIDGE
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS MOVE ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER WITH THE CONUS LEAVING ZONAL FLOW OVERHEAD WITH
ANOMALOUSLY HIGH HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES LEADING TO FORECAST
TEMPERATURES GENERALLY ABOUT TEN DEGREES ABOVE CLIMATOLOGY IN THAT
MONDAY TO THURSDAY TIME FRAME.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 603 AM CDT THU OCT 30 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL THREE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...10
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