883
FXUS64 KLUB 042002
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
202 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 127 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
- ROLLER COASTER OF TEMPERATURES EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
MULTIPLE COLD FRONTS PROGGED TO TRACK THROUGH THE REGION.
- NEAR-RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST THURSDAY, WITH ELEVATED
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE.
- MUCH COOLER WEATHER IS FORECAST SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
BROAD SCALE WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST CONUS CONTINUE TODAY, WITH GOOD WARM AIR ADVECTION
ALLOWING FOR TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S ALONG THE WEST AND UPPER
70S. SO THE PATTERN CERTAINLY FAVORS WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WHICH WOULD BE IN THE UPPER 60S FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. TONIGHT A BIT OF A COOL DOWN WILL BE ON THE WAY, DUE TO A
WEAK FRONT THAT'S EXPECTED TO CLIP THE PANHANDLES. WHILE WE'LL
COOL DOWN IN THE THE MID 70S TO MID 80S ON WEDNESDAY, IT WILL
STILL BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL EVEN WITH THE COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL BE
OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH THAT FRONTAL PASSAGE,
AND THE STRONGER WINDS WILL BE FOCUSED MORE TO THE NORTHEAST.
WEBER
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 127 PM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO
MORE BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS ON THURSDAY. FLOW WILL BEING TO SHIFT
MORE WEST TO NORTHWEST AND WITH GOOD CROSS BARRIER FLOW OVER THE
ROCKIES AND AMPLE WARM AIR ADVECTION WE CAN EXPECT A VERY WARM
THURSDAY. LEE SURFACE LOW LOOKS TO SET UP IN NORTHEAST NM AND THAT
WILL DRIVE 15-25 MPH WINDS AND VERY LOW RH VALUES ACROSS THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE NUDGED
WINDS UP AND DEWPOINTS DOWN TO BLEND WITH THE NBM 10TH-25TH
PERCENTILE, ESPECIALLY ALONG THE WEST. WINDS HAVE BEEN MORE
BLENDED TO 75TH PERCENTILE. THIS WOULD SUPPORT ELEVATED FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE WEST AND
CENTRAL PANHANDLES.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY WILL BE ON A COOLING TREND AS WE START OFF
WITH ANOTHER WEAK COLD FRONT THAT JUST KNOCKS TEMPERATURES BACK A
BIT, FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER STRONGER SURGE OF MUCH COLDER AIR
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. EXPECT BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS OUT
OF THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BY SUNDAY HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WHILE TEMPERATURES WILL
ATTEMPT TO RECOVER ON MONDAY AS THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A
FAIRLY LARGE SCALE TROUGH OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EXITS TO
THE EAST, WE'LL STILL STRUGGLE TO GET BACK TO NORMAL, WITH MOST
AREAS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S FOR A HIGH. WILL NOTE THAT SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING MAY BRING A POTENTIAL FREEZE TO THE
CHILDRESS AREAS.
WEBER
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST TUE NOV 4 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TAF SITES OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND WINDS IN THE 5-15KT RANGE. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL VARY AS WE WILL HAVE A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH
AFTER 12Z. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS, WILL EVENTUALLY TRANSITION
AROUND THE CLOCK TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY WIND 10-15KTS AROUND
15-18Z ON WEDNESDAY.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...99
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