201
FXUS64 KLUB 030529
AFDLUB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1129 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
- COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA FROM NORTH TO SOUTH TODAY.
- COLDER WITH CHANCES OF SNOW THURSDAY MORNING, MAINLY OVER THE FAR
SW PANHANDLE.
- GENERALLY WARMER AND DRY INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
BREEZY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT, ALTHOUGH WILL
REMAIN NEAR 10 MPH. AS SUCH, LOWS WILL BE MUCH WARMER RELATIVELY
SPEAKING THAN YESTERDAY MORNING RANGING GENERALLY FROM THE UPPER
20S TO MID 30S. AN UPPER TROUGH WILL DESCEND INTO THE DESERT
SOUTHWEST TODAY. MOSTLY ZONAL FLOW WILL CONTINUE OUT AHEAD OF IT
OVER OUR AREA, HOWEVER A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL TRACK FROM NORTH TO
SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO NORTH IN ITS WAKE. A
SHARP HIGH TEMPERATURE GRADIENT REMAINS EXPECTED WITH HIGHS AROUND
50 OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN PANHANDLE TO NEAR 60 OVER THE SOUTHERN
SOUTH AND ROLLING PLAINS. MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE EVENING AHEAD OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED TROUGH.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
THE OVERALL THINKING FOR THURSDAY MORNING REMAINS UNCHANGED. AN
UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER NEW MEXICO OVERNIGHT. AS IT
WILL BE QUITE SHALLOW, THE PVA/FORCING OUT AHEAD OF IT WILL NOT BE
OVERLY IMPRESSIVE AS LIKEWISE WITH MOISTURE PARAMETERS. HOWEVER
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS OVER THE FAR SW PANHANDLE AS AFOREMENTIONED DYNAMICS
WILL AT LEAST BE NON-ZERO. PRECIPITATION MAY SPREAD SLIGHTLY
SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD BY MID-MORNING, HOWEVER CONDITIONS SHOULD
QUICKLY DRY OUT THEREAFTER AND ANY RESULTANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS MAY
BE A DUSTING AT BEST. HIGHEST POPS AGAIN HAVE BEEN HELD TO AROUND
30%. SKIES WILL PARTLY CLEAR BY THE AFTERNOON AS THE TROUGH DEPARTS.
AGAIN DESPITE A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN ALOFT, THE REST OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD FROM FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK REMAINS FAIRLY PERSISTENT
WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES AT OR SLIGHLTY ABOVE
AVERAGE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CST TUE DEC 2 2025
VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. HOWEVER, A COLD FRONT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH MID TO LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING SHIFTING
WINDS TO THE NORTH. WIND SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE STRONG BUT IN
THE RANGE OF 10-15KT AFTER THE WIND SHIFT. WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS AS LOWER CIGS BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA.
LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01
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